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WESWestern Midstream Partners, LPBuy Wait6.5·$45.03
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Western Midstream Partners is a high-quality midstream operator with a wide economic moat, 37% return on equity, and 22% year-over-year revenue growth, but 60% revenue concentration from a single customer and a price already above analyst targets create asymmetric downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Occidental Customer Concentration→Stable
  • Wide Moat High Quality Operations→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth 22 Pct→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Western Midstream Partners, LP (WES) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $44.57. Price sits above the model's entry target of $44.57; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting... Read more

$45.03-4.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#17 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.66%
IncomeYield8.24%(5y avg 7.50%)Payout115.82%at-risk
Entry $44.57(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $43.09Analyst target $43.10(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$49.54+10.0%13 analysts
$45.03price
$49.54mean
$41
$59

Wait for pullback to $44.57. Price sits above the model's entry target of $44.57; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$18.6B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn29.0%
ROE34.1%
Rev Growth30.0%
Beta0.71
Dividend8.24%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$33-26.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerOccidental60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'dependent on Occidental as our largest customer and the owner of our general partner ... 60% of Total revenues ... attributable to production owned or controlled by Occidental'
  • MEDIUMGeographiclimited producing areas
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business and operations are concentrated in a limited number of producing areas. Due to our limited geographic diversification...'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.80Resistance $46.42

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WES stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $44.57. Price sits above the model's entry target of $44.57; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Analyst target $43.10 reached (−4.3%), stop $43.09 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WES stock price target?

Analyst target $43.10 reached (−4.3% from $45.03); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $43.10 reached (−4.3%), stop $43.09 (−4.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $43.09.

What are the risks of investing in WES?

Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5.

Is WES overvalued or undervalued?

Western Midstream Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WES?

20 analysts cover WES with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Western Midstream Partners, LP do?Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the...

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil; and gathering and disposing of produced water. It also buys and sells residue, NGLs, and condensates. The company operates assets located in Texas, New Mexico, and the Rocky Mountains. It also provides water handling solutions. The company was formerly known as Western Gas Equity Partners, LP and changed its name to Western Midstream Partners, LP in February 2019. Western Midstream Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas.

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