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WESWestern Midstream Partners, LPSell6.0·$44.57+1.43%
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Western Midstream Partners, LP (WES) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.57 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%).

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting... Read more

$44.57+5.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#16 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.05%
IncomeYield8.35%(5y avg 7.62%)Payout119.74%at-risk
Stop $42.35Target $47.05(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$44.73+0.4%11 analysts
$47.05our TP
$44.57price
$44.73mean
$38
$54

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.57 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$17.6B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn29.5%
ROE36.7%
Rev Growth22.5%
Beta0.65
Dividend8.35%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerOccidental60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Occidental for over 50% of revenues ... 60% of Total revenues and other ... were attributable to production owned or controlled by Occidental'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.79Resistance $48.01

Price Targets

$42
$47
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.57 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $42.35. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.05 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $42.35. Stop-loss: $42.35.

What are the risks of investing in WES?

Concentration risk — Customer: Occidental (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5.

Is WES overvalued or undervalued?

Western Midstream Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WES?

18 analysts cover WES with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Western Midstream Partners, LP do?Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the...

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil; and gathering and disposing of produced water. It also buys and sells residue, NGLs, and condensates. The company operates assets located in Texas, New Mexico, and the Rocky Mountains. It also provides water handling solutions. The company was formerly known as Western Gas Equity Partners, LP and changed its name to Western Midstream Partners, LP in February 2019. Western Midstream Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas.

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