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FROFrontline PlcHold6.8·$55.53
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Frontline carries a high-quality franchise with peer-leading margins and a wide economic moat, but has traded past its near-term resistance target, four consecutive earnings misses have cast doubt on near-term delivery, and low free cash conversion raises questions about dividend sustainability — together these factors favor patience over new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Yield Sustainability Concern↓Deteriorating
  • High Quality Wide Moat→Stable
  • Exceptional Revenue Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Frontline Plc (FRO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it... Read more

$55.53-12.4% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#12 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.30%
IncomeYield10.01%(5y avg 3.51%)Payout46.93%sustainable
Stop $51.64Analyst target $48.66(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$57.25+3.1%4 analysts
$55.53price
$57.25mean
$44
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-12.4% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 30, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$12.4B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn54.8%
ROE53.9%
Rev Growth96.5%
Beta0.18
Dividend10.01%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.03Resistance $59.75

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.4%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)
! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-30 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-12.4% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $48.66 reached (−12.4%), stop $51.64 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.8/10, high confidence.

What is the FRO stock price target?

Analyst target $48.66 reached (−12.4% from $55.53); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $48.66 reached (−12.4%), stop $51.64 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $51.64.

What are the risks of investing in FRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is FRO overvalued or undervalued?

Frontline Plc trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRO?

8 analysts cover FRO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Frontline Plc do?Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The...

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a fleet of 80 vessels, including 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. The company is also involved in the charter, purchase, and sale of vessels. Frontline plc was founded in 1985 and is based in Limassol, Cyprus.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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