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EOLSEvolus, Inc. Common StockSell6.3·$7.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Evolus is growing revenue 21% YoY with an 86.2% gap to the analyst target and a 3-of-4 earnings beat record, but it is cash-burning, relies on two single-source suppliers, and has insiders selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Margin Compression↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Supplier Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Evolus, Inc. Common Stock (EOLS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.00; Below-average business quality.

Evolus, Inc. is a global performance beauty company selling Jeuveau®, an injectable botulinum toxin type A for frown lines, and Evolysse™, a line of injectable hyaluronic acid gel fillers, to licensed aesthetic practitioners in the cash-pay aesthetic market. The company... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.36%
Stop $7.10Analyst target $13.05(−13% haircut)A.R:R 7.4:1
Analyst consensus$15.00+96.5%5 analysts
$13.05Analyst target
$7.63price
$15.00mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Evolus, Inc. Common Stock

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Daewoong (Jeuveau manufacturer)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Symatese (Evolysse manufacturer)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$504M
EV/EBITDA-48.8
Profit Mgn-10.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C9.00bearish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$5-34.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierDaewoong (Jeuveau manufacturer)
    10-K Item 1: 'Daewoong Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd. ("Daewoong") manufactures and supplies Jeuveau® to us.'
  • HIGHSupplierSymatese (Evolysse manufacturer)
    10-K Item 1: 'Symatese Aesthetics S.A.S. ("Symatese") manufactures and supplies Evolysse™ to us.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
1.3
Volatility
1.6
Days To Cover
1.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
5.1
Beta
5.6
Elevated put/call: 9.00High IV: 72%Above max pain $5Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Moat
7.0
Gross Margin
9.3
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueRule of 40: 21 (fail)
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dINSIDER 0.19%=MODERATEMomentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 7.4 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.90Resistance $8.01

Price Targets

$7
$13
A.Upside+70.9%
A.R:R7.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EOLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.10. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EOLS stock price target?

Analyst target: $13.05 (+70.9% upside). Prior stop was $7.10. Stop-loss: $7.10.

What are the risks of investing in EOLS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Daewoong (Jeuveau manufacturer); Concentration risk — Supplier: Symatese (Evolysse manufacturer); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is EOLS overvalued or undervalued?

Evolus, Inc. Common Stock trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EOLS?

12 analysts cover EOLS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Evolus, Inc. Common Stock do?Evolus, Inc. is a global performance beauty company selling Jeuveau®, an injectable botulinum toxin type A for frown...

Evolus, Inc. is a global performance beauty company selling Jeuveau®, an injectable botulinum toxin type A for frown lines, and Evolysse™, a line of injectable hyaluronic acid gel fillers, to licensed aesthetic practitioners in the cash-pay aesthetic market. The company generates revenue from direct-to-practitioner sales in the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Australia, with Jeuveau® manufactured exclusively by Daewoong Pharmaceutical in South Korea and Evolysse™ manufactured exclusively by Symatese in France.

Related stocks: IRWD (Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · BCRX (BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · SUPN (Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · BHC (Bausch Health Companies Inc.)
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Latest news

Latest News

Fiscal.ai22h ago
Fiscal.ai8d agoEarnings
Benzinga27d agoLegal
Benzinga27d agoFda Decision
Benzinga58d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga65d agoAnalyst