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ELSEquity Lifestyle Properties, InSell4.9·$64.83+1.39%
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Equity Lifestyle Properties, In (ELS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Equity LifeStyle Properties is a self-administered REIT owning 453 manufactured home communities, RV parks and marinas totaling 173,371 sites across 35 U.S. states and British Columbia. Revenue is generated through site rents, membership subscriptions and home sales; Florida... Read more

$64.83-1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#9 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.69%
IncomeYield3.35%(5y avg 2.59%)Payout104.38%
Stop $62.29Target $63.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$70.19+8.3%18 analysts
$63.92our TP
$64.83price
$70.19mean
$63
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.4
P/E (Fwd)29.9
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn25.0%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.68
Dividend3.35%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Florida, Northeast, California and Arizona, which comprised 45.7%, 11.1%, 10.2% and 10.9%, respectively, of our total property operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicArizona11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Florida, Northeast, California and Arizona, which comprised 45.7%, 11.1%, 10.2% and 10.9%, respectively, of our total property operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
2.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
9.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.5
P Ocf
4.9
P/OCF: 22.7x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.61Resistance $65.22

Price Targets

$62
$64
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $62.29. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ELS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.92 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $62.29. Stop-loss: $62.29.

What are the risks of investing in ELS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is ELS overvalued or undervalued?

Equity Lifestyle Properties, In trades at a P/E of 32.4 (forward 29.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELS?

21 analysts cover ELS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Equity Lifestyle Properties, In do?Equity LifeStyle Properties is a self-administered REIT owning 453 manufactured home communities, RV parks and marinas...

Equity LifeStyle Properties is a self-administered REIT owning 453 manufactured home communities, RV parks and marinas totaling 173,371 sites across 35 U.S. states and British Columbia. Revenue is generated through site rents, membership subscriptions and home sales; Florida represents 46% of total property operating revenues, the largest geographic concentration.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent)
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