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UMH Properties, Inc. (UMH) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. At $15.80, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities, containing approximately 27,000 developed homesites, of which 10,800 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These... Read more

$15.80+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $15.13Target $16.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$19.36+22.5%7 analysts
$16.84our TP
$15.80price
$19.36mean
$24

Sell if holding. At $15.80, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.1%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)222.1
P/E (Fwd)91.5
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta
Dividend5.79%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV91%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.50Resistance $15.99

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+6.6%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $15.80, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $15.13. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.84 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.13. Stop-loss: $15.13.

What are the risks of investing in UMH?

Thin upside margin: 7.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is UMH overvalued or undervalued?

UMH Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 222.1 (forward 91.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UMH?

12 analysts cover UMH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does UMH Properties, Inc. do?UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145...

UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that currently owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities, containing approximately 27,000 developed homesites, of which 10,800 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These communities are located in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida and Georgia. Included in the 145 communities are two communities in Florida, containing 363 sites, and one community in Pennsylvania, containing 113 sites, that UMH has an ownership interest in and operates through its joint ventures with Nuveen Real Estate. UMH Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 in Maryland, USA.

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