Value
4.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 4.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| p ocf | 5.0 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 21.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
ELS · Why this verdict
Why Equity Lifestyle Properties, In (ELS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.3 |
| ROA | 3.9 |
| Gross margin | 6.7 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 1.8 |
| FCF quality | 9.1 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Strong margins: 25%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 124% FCF/NI
Growth
2.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.8 |
| EPS growth | 1.5 |
Momentum
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 6.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 2.7 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 6.8 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $201,660 (0.002% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.8 |
| quality rank | 7.2 |
| growth rank | 3.1 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.8 |
| support resistance | 4.9 |
| 52w position | 8.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.7 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 8.1 |
| put call | 8.3 |
| implied vol | 6.7 |
| beta | 8.9 |
| debt equity | 3.4 |
Catalyst
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.1 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Dividend: 348.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.2>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:43d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.24
Upside
+1.2%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Risk (lower is worse) at 7.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.24 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.0, Quality at 6.9, and Momentum at 6.2; the weakest are Growth at 2.1, Value at 4.3, and Catalyst at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.24 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.