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EGOEldorado Gold CorporationSell6.5·$33.32+8.68%
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Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. At $33.32, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.50× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..

Eldorado Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploration, development, and sale of mineral products primarily in Turkey, Canada, and Greece. It primarily produces gold, as well as silver, lead, and zinc. The company holds a 100% interest in... Read more

$33.32+11.8% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#21 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.19%
IncomeYield0.98%(5y avg 0.85%)Payout2.62%sustainable
Stop $30.99Target $37.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$42.80+28.5%5 analysts
$37.24our TP
$33.32price
$42.80mean
$55

Sell if holding. At $33.32, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.50× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=5.4x,ratio=0.50x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.50× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)5.4
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn28.6%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth49.9%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.98%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
1.9
Gap
3.0
52w Position
3.1
Extreme gap up (6.0%) - may pull back

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
5.7
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=5.4x,ratio=0.50xMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.74Resistance $34.36

Price Targets

$31
$37
A.Upside+11.8%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=5.4x,ratio=0.50x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $33.32, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.50× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $30.99. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.24 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $30.99. Stop-loss: $30.99.

What are the risks of investing in EGO?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.50× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is EGO overvalued or undervalued?

Eldorado Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EGO?

14 analysts cover EGO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Eldorado Gold Corporation do?Eldorado Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploration, development, and sale of...

Eldorado Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploration, development, and sale of mineral products primarily in Turkey, Canada, and Greece. It primarily produces gold, as well as silver, lead, and zinc. The company holds a 100% interest in the Kisladag and Efemçukuru mines located in Turkey; Lamaque complex located in Quebec, Canada; Olympias located in northern Greece; and Stratoni, Skouries, Perama Hill, and Sapes gold mines located in Greece. The company was formerly known as Eldorado Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to Eldorado Gold Corporation in April 1996. Eldorado Gold Corporation was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.)
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