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DRTSAlpha Tau Medical Ltd.Sell4.8·$13.35
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

DRTS is technically overbought after a strong run that has already reached its V8 price target, compounded by a four-quarter earnings miss streak and modest insider selling, leaving negative risk/reward asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Overbought Momentum Run↓Deteriorating
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Negative Risk Reward Asymmetry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.35: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of diffusing alpha-emitters radiation therapy (Alpha DaRT) for the treatment of solid cancer. Its Alpha-DaRT technology is in clinical trials for... Read more

$13.35+16.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#192 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.64%
Stop $12.42Analyst target $15.49(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst consensus$17.80+33.3%5 analysts
$15.49Analyst target
$13.35price
$17.80mean
$8
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.35: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-25.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-23.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-141.7%
Rev Growth—
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV105%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Macd
3.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.99Resistance $15.04

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside+16.0%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.35: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.42. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRTS stock price target?

Analyst target: $15.49 (+16.0% upside). Prior stop was $12.42. Stop-loss: $12.42.

What are the risks of investing in DRTS?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is DRTS overvalued or undervalued?

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DRTS?

11 analysts cover DRTS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. do?Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, focuses on the research, development, and...

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of diffusing alpha-emitters radiation therapy (Alpha DaRT) for the treatment of solid cancer. Its Alpha-DaRT technology is in clinical trials for various forms comprising skin, oral, pancreatic, prostate, lung, liver, and breast cancers; and preclinical clinical studies for mouse tumors and human-derived tumors. The company has a strategic collaboration agreement to develop and commercialize Alpha DaRT for the treatment of prostate cancer. The company is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel.

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