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DRTSAlpha Tau Medical Ltd.Sell4.5·$14.68+1.66%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

DRTS is technically overbought after a strong run that has already reached its V8 price target, compounded by a four-quarter earnings miss streak and modest insider selling, leaving negative risk/reward asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Overbought Momentum RunDeteriorating
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakDeteriorating
  • Negative Risk Reward AsymmetryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.68: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of diffusing alpha-emitters radiation therapy (Alpha DaRT) for the treatment of solid cancer. Its Alpha-DaRT technology is in clinical trials for... Read more

$14.68+7.3% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#231 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.52%
Stop $13.42Target $15.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$17.80+21.3%5 analysts
$15.49our TP
$14.68price
$17.80mean
$8
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.68: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13

Recent Developments — Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.

Generated 2026-09-14T05:21:57Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-27.0
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-25.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-141.7%
Rev Growth
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV91%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
2.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.65Resistance $15.17

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.68: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.42. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.49 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.42. Stop-loss: $13.42.

What are the risks of investing in DRTS?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is DRTS overvalued or undervalued?

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -27.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DRTS?

11 analysts cover DRTS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. do?Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, focuses on the research, development, and...

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of diffusing alpha-emitters radiation therapy (Alpha DaRT) for the treatment of solid cancer. Its Alpha-DaRT technology is in clinical trials for various forms comprising skin, oral, pancreatic, prostate, lung, liver, and breast cancers; and preclinical clinical studies for mouse tumors and human-derived tumors. The company has a strategic collaboration agreement to develop and commercialize Alpha DaRT for the treatment of prostate cancer. The company is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel.

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