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DOVDover CorporationSell5.4·$217.43-0.50%
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Dover Corporation (DOV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $217.43, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.8%.

Dover Corporation manufactures diversified industrial equipment, components, consumables, and software through five segments — Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies — employing... Read more

$217.43+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#23 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.87%
IncomeYield0.96%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout25.94%sustainable
Stop $206.49Target $225.76(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$250.85+15.4%20 analysts
$225.76our TP
$217.43price
$250.85mean
$168
$280

Sell if holding. At $217.43, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.8%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dover Corporation

About Dover Corporation

Dover Corporation's five operating segments — Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies — generated revenue approximately 54% domestic and 46% international in both 2025 and 2024, with 24,000 employees globally. The company divested the Environmental Solutions Group in October 2024 for $2.0 billion and the De-Sta-Co business in March 2024 for $675.9 million. Recurring demand — parts, consumables, services, and software — represents roughly 40% of total revenue.

Dover operates two complementary revenue models. Component businesses (industrial pumps, biopharma connectors, engineered bearings, and clean energy components) supply critical parts where customer switching costs far exceed the component cost, creating stable recurring demand. Equipment-with-aftermarket businesses (marking and coding equipment, plastics processing, and aluminum can-making) earn a significant share of revenue from consumables, parts, and services sold into a large installed base. The five segments collectively target 4-6% organic revenue growth above GDP annually over the business cycle. Raw materials including steel, aluminum, and copper affect multiple segments; the company generally attempts to pass increased raw material prices to customers, though timing lags may temporarily compress margins. Acquisitions — fourteen completed between 2023 and 2025 for roughly $1.9 billion — supplement organic growth and reshape the portfolio toward higher-margin niche markets.

Show full overview

Dover's capital allocation targets average annual spending of approximately 2% of revenue on organic projects, with acquisitions funded from free cash flow and credit facilities. In April 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K that it entered a new $1.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility with a 12-bank syndicate, replacing the $1.0 billion facility from April 2023, expanding available liquidity. The 10-K notes that if acquisitions underperform or integration benefits are not realized, the roughly $1.9 billion deployed across fourteen transactions since 2023 may fall below the company's double-digit return-on-invested-capital target within three to four years of each deal.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Dover Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.2
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$29.3B
EV/EBITDA16.6
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.17
Dividend0.96%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$300+38.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicrevenues outside the United States46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 46% of our revenues for both 2025 and 2024 were derived outside the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-08Item 1.01LOW
    Dover entered a new $1.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility on April 2, 2026, with a 12-bank syndicate; JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. as Administrative Agent.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-08Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Dover terminated its existing $1 billion five-year revolving credit facility (dated April 6, 2023) on April 2, 2026, concurrent with entering the replacement $1.5 billion facility.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-08Item 2.03LOW
    Dover created a $1.5 billion unsecured revolving credit obligation on April 2, 2026, under a new five-year credit agreement replacing the prior $1 billion facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spot8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $204.52Resistance $223.39

Price Targets

$206
$226
A.Upside+3.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $217.43, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.8%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $206.49. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $225.76 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $206.49. Stop-loss: $206.49.

What are the risks of investing in DOV?

Thin upside margin: 3.8%.

Is DOV overvalued or undervalued?

Dover Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.2 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOV?

25 analysts cover DOV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $251.

What does Dover Corporation do?Dover Corporation manufactures diversified industrial equipment, components, consumables, and software through five...

Dover Corporation manufactures diversified industrial equipment, components, consumables, and software through five segments — Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies — employing approximately 24,000 people worldwide. About 46% of revenues come from outside the United States, and recurring parts, consumables, and services represent roughly 40% of total revenue.

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