Dover Corporation has formed a golden cross with price above all moving averages and a perfect financial health score, but an in-line quarter in the most recent period following three beats, volume distribution pressure, and only 2.3% upside to the analyst target with a reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 0.46-to-1 make the near-term entry unattractive.
Thesis pillars
- Technical Breakout Golden Cross→Stable
- Earnings Delivery Track Record↓Deteriorating
- Perfect Financial Health Score→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026
Dover Corporation (DOV) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $210.37 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Dover Corporation manufactures diversified industrial equipment, components, consumables, and software through five segments — Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies — employing... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $210.37 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Dover Corporation
About Dover Corporation
Dover Corporation's five operating segments — Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies — generated revenue approximately 54% domestic and 46% international in both 2025 and 2024, with 24,000 employees globally. The company divested the Environmental Solutions Group in October 2024 for $2.0 billion and the De-Sta-Co business in March 2024 for $675.9 million. Recurring demand — parts, consumables, services, and software — represents roughly 40% of total revenue.
Dover operates two complementary revenue models. Component businesses (industrial pumps, biopharma connectors, engineered bearings, and clean energy components) supply critical parts where customer switching costs far exceed the component cost, creating stable recurring demand. Equipment-with-aftermarket businesses (marking and coding equipment, plastics processing, and aluminum can-making) earn a significant share of revenue from consumables, parts, and services sold into a large installed base. The five segments collectively target 4-6% organic revenue growth above GDP annually over the business cycle. Raw materials including steel, aluminum, and copper affect multiple segments; the company generally attempts to pass increased raw material prices to customers, though timing lags may temporarily compress margins. Acquisitions — fourteen completed between 2023 and 2025 for roughly $1.9 billion — supplement organic growth and reshape the portfolio toward higher-margin niche markets.
Show full overview
Dover's capital allocation targets average annual spending of approximately 2% of revenue on organic projects, with acquisitions funded from free cash flow and credit facilities. In April 2026, the company disclosed via Form 8-K that it entered a new $1.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility with a 12-bank syndicate, replacing the $1.0 billion facility from April 2023, expanding available liquidity. The 10-K notes that if acquisitions underperform or integration benefits are not realized, the roughly $1.9 billion deployed across fourteen transactions since 2023 may fall below the company's double-digit return-on-invested-capital target within three to four years of each deal.
See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
From Dover Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Dover Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Is Dover (DOV) Undervalued As Strong Q2 Results Raise Fresh Valuation Questions? - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS First Trust Advisors LP Sells 267,464 Shares of Dover Corporation $DOV - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Dover (DOV) Q2 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Dover (DOV) Q2 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS DOV (Dover Corporation) reports Q4 2025 revenue up 4.5 percent year over year, shares drop 1.38 percent today. - Growth — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
Generated 2026-10-30T12:27:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicrevenues outside the United States46%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 46% of our revenues for both 2025 and 2024 were derived outside the United States'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-08Item 1.01LOWDover entered a new $1.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility on April 2, 2026, with a 12-bank syndicate; JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. as Administrative Agent.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-08Item 1.02MEDIUMDover terminated its existing $1 billion five-year revolving credit facility (dated April 6, 2023) on April 2, 2026, concurrent with entering the replacement $1.5 billion facility.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-08Item 2.03LOWDover created a $1.5 billion unsecured revolving credit obligation on April 2, 2026, under a new five-year credit agreement replacing the prior $1 billion facility.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $210.37 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Prior stop was $202.55. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $214.91 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $202.55. Stop-loss: $202.55.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 85).
Dover Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.5 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover DOV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $239.
What does Dover Corporation do?Dover Corporation manufactures diversified industrial equipment, components, consumables, and software through five...
Dover Corporation manufactures diversified industrial equipment, components, consumables, and software through five segments — Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies — employing approximately 24,000 people worldwide. About 46% of revenues come from outside the United States, and recurring parts, consumables, and services represent roughly 40% of total revenue.