Skip to main content

Dover Corporation (DOV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.43 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

Dover Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer delivering equipment, components, consumables, software, and services through five segments: Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability... Read more

$225.43+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#32 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $213.44Target $228.06(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$248.63+10.3%21 analysts
$228.06our TP
$225.43price
$248.63mean
$168
$279

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.43 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.25
Dividend0.92%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational revenues outside United States46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 46% of our revenues for both 2025 and 2024 were derived outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle source or limited source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'some of the raw materials and components may be available only from limited or single source suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-08Item 1.01LOW
    Dover entered a new $1.5B five-year unsecured revolving credit facility on April 2, 2026 with 12 banks, replacing its existing $1B facility. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. serves as Administrative Agent.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-08Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Dover terminated its existing $1B five-year unsecured credit facility (originally dated April 6, 2023, JPMorgan Chase as agent) on April 2, 2026, replaced by a new $1.5B credit agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $204.13Resistance $232.71

Price Targets

$213
$228
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.43 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $213.44. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $228.06 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $213.44. Stop-loss: $213.44.

What are the risks of investing in DOV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is DOV overvalued or undervalued?

Dover Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOV?

26 analysts cover DOV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $249.

What does Dover Corporation do?Dover Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer delivering equipment, components, consumables, software, and...

Dover Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer delivering equipment, components, consumables, software, and services through five segments: Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies. It employs ~24,000 globally, with ~46% of 2025 revenues derived outside the U.S.

Related stocks: JBTM (JBT Marel Corporation) · IEX (IDEX Corporation) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) · MIR (Mirion Technologies, Inc.) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation pl)