Deere & Company (DE) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Sell if holding. At $578.38, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.7%.
Deere & Company manufactures agricultural and construction equipment through four segments: Production & Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture & Turf, Construction & Forestry, and Financial Services. Revenue is earned globally from equipment sales, leases, and financing to... Read more
Sell if holding. At $578.38, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.7%. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierChina rare earth minerals10-K Item 1A: 'certain of our products...rely on rare earth minerals for their manufacturing, of which a significant majority are sourced from China'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOWDeere & Company Board approved one-time PSU grants to named executive officers on March 19, 2026 under the 2020 Equity and Incentive Plan. Awards tied to annual Shareholder Value Added targets over 5-year period ending October 27, 2030 with time-based vesting.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -11.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $578.38, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 3.7%. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $544.62. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $598.59 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $544.62. Stop-loss: $544.62.
Thin upside margin: 3.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.3/10.
Deere & Company trades at a P/E of 33.2 (forward 25.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
34 analysts cover DE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $665.
What does Deere & Company do?Deere & Company manufactures agricultural and construction equipment through four segments: Production & Precision...
Deere & Company manufactures agricultural and construction equipment through four segments: Production & Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture & Turf, Construction & Forestry, and Financial Services. Revenue is earned globally from equipment sales, leases, and financing to farmers, contractors, and turf customers; in fiscal 2025, unfavorable market conditions resulted in lower sales volumes, elevated credit losses, and greater reliance on sales incentives.