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CYHCommunity Health Systems, Inc.Hold4.0·$2.66
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Community Health Systems trades above its analyst target with falling revenue, volatile earnings and a heavily bearish options market, which leaves no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • Declining Revenue Base→Stable
  • Erratic Earnings Surprises↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (1.2% upside); Market cap $375M below $400M minimum.

Community Health Systems operates 69 affiliated hospitals with more than 10,000 licensed beds across 36 markets in 14 states, plus over 1,000 outpatient sites including physician practices and surgery centers. The company earns revenue from general and specialized hospital and... Read more

$2.66+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#35 of 35 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield52.59%
Stop $2.55Analyst target $2.69(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$3.09+16.3%8 analysts
$2.69Analyst target
$2.66price
$3.09mean
$2
$4

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (1.2% upside); Market cap $375M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $375M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Community Health Systems, Inc.

About Community Health Systems, Inc.

Community Health Systems ended 2025 operating 69 affiliated hospitals with 10,458 licensed beds and more than 1,000 non-hospital care sites across 36 distinct markets in 14 states, down from 76 hospitals a year earlier following divestitures. The company recorded 399,255 admissions and 898,223 adjusted admissions in 2025, compared with 422,040 and 958,531 respectively in 2024, reflecting both the divestitures and softer inpatient volume. About 1,700 employed physicians and 1,400 licensed healthcare practitioners support care delivery across the network.

Community Health Systems earns revenue from general acute care, emergency, surgical, obstetric, diagnostic, psychiatric, and rehabilitation services delivered through its hospitals and outpatient sites, reimbursed by governmental agencies such as Medicare and Medicaid, private insurers, and patients directly. The company centralizes billing and collections through three regional business offices and standardizes supply chain, finance, and human-resources functions on a single enterprise resource planning platform to control costs. It holds a noncontrolling ownership interest in HealthTrust Purchasing Group, a group purchasing organization that contracts with vendors supplying a substantial portion of the company's medical supplies, equipment, and pharmaceuticals. Its growth strategy centers on strengthening 12 existing regional hospital networks, expanding outpatient access points such as urgent care and ambulatory surgery centers, and recruiting physicians through 11 Medicare Shared Savings Program accountable care organizations covering roughly 2,900 physicians.

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A risk more specific to Community Health Systems than to the broader hospital sector is its geographic concentration: the 10-K states that revenues are somewhat concentrated in a relatively small number of states, even as CMS projects federal Medicaid spending pressure through 2027 tied to the expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act marketplace subsidies and the 2025 Reconciliation Law, which is expected to decrease insurance access and reduce federal healthcare spending. Because government and commercial payors dominate hospital reimbursement, a Medicaid contraction concentrated in the company's 14-state footprint would weigh more heavily on it than on a more geographically diversified hospital operator.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

From Community Health Systems, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.2% upside)
Market cap $375M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1.4
P/E (Fwd)-5.1
Mkt Cap$375M
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth-9.8%
Beta1.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographica relatively small number of states
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues are somewhat concentrated in a relatively small number of states.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliervendors supplying medical supplies, equipment and pharmaceuticals
    10-K Item 1: 'HealthTrust contracts with certain vendors who supply a substantial portion of our medical supplies, equipment and pharmaceuticals.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.1
Declining revenue: -10%

Volatile — 5.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
3.7
Short Interest
5.3
Elevated put/call: 3.00High IV: 86%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume
8.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.63Resistance $3.04

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! Market cap $375M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (1.2% upside); Market cap $375M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $375M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Analyst target $2.69 (+1.2%), stop $2.55 (−4.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYH stock price target?

Analyst target: $2.69 (+1.2% upside). Analyst target $2.69 (+1.2%), stop $2.55 (−4.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $2.55.

What are the risks of investing in CYH?

Target reached (1.2% upside); Market cap $375M below $400M minimum.

Is CYH overvalued or undervalued?

Community Health Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 1.4 (forward -5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CYH?

17 analysts cover CYH with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Community Health Systems, Inc. do?Community Health Systems operates 69 affiliated hospitals with more than 10,000 licensed beds across 36 markets in 14...

Community Health Systems operates 69 affiliated hospitals with more than 10,000 licensed beds across 36 markets in 14 states, plus over 1,000 outpatient sites including physician practices and surgery centers. The company earns revenue from general and specialized hospital and outpatient services, reimbursed by governmental agencies, private insurers, and patients directly.

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