Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).
Addus HomeCare provides personal care (non-medical), hospice, and home health services across 23 states through 262 offices, serving ~107,000 consumers in 2025 with $1.42B in net service revenues. Revenue comes primarily from government payors — state/local Medicaid agencies... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Addus HomeCare Corporation
About Addus HomeCare Corporation
Addus HomeCare Corporation provided home-based personal care, hospice, and home health services to approximately 107,000 discrete consumers across 23 states through 262 offices during 2025, generating $1.422 billion in total net service revenue. Personal care—non-medical assistance with activities of daily living for the elderly and disabled—contributed $1.089 billion (77%) of segment revenues, hospice $262.5 million (18%), and home health $70.8 million (5%).
Addus derives revenue through hourly fee-for-service agreements with state and local government agencies, managed care organizations, and commercial insurers. For 2025, approximately 39.3% of net service revenues came from state and local governmental agencies (primarily Medicaid) and 20.5% from Medicare. As states shift from direct fee-for-service Medicaid administration to managed care models, managed care organizations represent an increasing share of the personal care payor mix. Agreements with state and local agencies carry initial terms of one to two years, terminable with 60 days' notice, and are typically renewed for one to five-year terms. Addus's workforce included approximately 34.5% union-represented employees—predominantly through local SEIU affiliates—as of December 31, 2025, subjecting the company to periodic collective bargaining; labor costs are the most significant component of total expenditures. The company completed four acquisitions in 2025—Gold Horses LLC (October), Helping Hands Home Care Service, Inc. (August), Great Lakes Home Care Unlimited (March), and its Jacksonville affiliate (January)—contributing $11.8 million in 2025 revenues.
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Revenue concentration in three states exposes Addus to outsized policy risk: Illinois contributed 37.0% of 2025 net service revenues, Texas 15.2%, and New Mexico 13.1%. The Illinois Department on Aging programs alone represented 18.1% of 2025 revenue, down from 21.0% in 2024; state officials have in the past attempted and may again propose reductions to spending by this department that restrict consumer eligibility or authorized service hours. The One Big Beautiful Budget Act, enacted July 4, 2025, introduced restrictions on Medicaid financing mechanisms—including limits on provider tax arrangements—expected to reduce federal Medicaid matching funds flowing to states, which could weigh on Addus's reimbursement rates across its largest markets.
See also: Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
From Addus HomeCare Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Addus HomeCare Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings Preview: ADUS to Report Financial Results Post-market on May 04 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 neutral
- NEWS ADUS or ELAN: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? - sharewise.com — sharewise.com neutral
- NEWS ADUS or ELAN: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Burney Co. Invests $1.84 Million in Addus HomeCare Corporation $ADUS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS ADUs Make Housing More Affordable for Older Adults — When They’re Allowed - AARP — AARP neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicIllinois37%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we derived approximately 37.0% of our net service revenues from services provided in Illinois'
- LOWGeographicTexas15%10-K Item 1A: '15.2% from services provided in Texas'
- LOWGeographicNew Mexico13%10-K Item 1A: '13.1% from services provided in New Mexico'
- MEDIUMCustomerIllinois Department on Aging18%10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 18.1%...of our revenue from the Illinois Department on Aging programs'
- MEDIUMCustomerstate and local governmental agencies (Medicaid)39%10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 39.3% of our net service revenues from state and local governmental agencies, primarily through Medicaid state programs'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $90.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $85.39. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $115.44 (+27.3% upside). Prior stop was $85.39. Stop-loss: $85.39.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Addus HomeCare Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ADUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $133.
What does Addus HomeCare Corporation do?Addus HomeCare provides personal care (non-medical), hospice, and home health services across 23 states through 262...
Addus HomeCare provides personal care (non-medical), hospice, and home health services across 23 states through 262 offices, serving ~107,000 consumers in 2025 with $1.42B in net service revenues. Revenue comes primarily from government payors — state/local Medicaid agencies (39.3%) and Medicare (20.5%) — with the remainder from managed care organizations serving dual-eligible populations.