Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Wait for pullback to $94.34. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $98.09. Engine's entry $94.34 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%).
Addus HomeCare provides personal care, hospice, and home health services in 23 states via ~262 offices, serving ~107,000 consumers in 2025. Revenue of $1.42B in 2025 comes primarily from state Medicaid programs (39.3%) and Medicare (20.5%), with Illinois (37.0%), Texas (15.2%),... Read more
Wait for pullback to $94.34. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $98.09. Engine's entry $94.34 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicIllinois37%10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 37.0% of our net service revenues from services provided in Illinois'
- MEDIUMGeographicTexas15%10-K Item 1A: '37.0% of our net service revenues from services provided in Illinois, 13.1% from services provided in New Mexico and 15.2% from services provided in Texas'
- MEDIUMGeographicNew Mexico13%10-K Item 1A: '13.1% from services provided in New Mexico and 15.2% from services provided in Texas'
- MEDIUMCustomerIllinois Department on Aging programs18%10-K Item 1A: 'we derived approximately 18.1%...of our revenue from the Illinois Department on Aging programs'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $94.34. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $98.09. Engine's entry $94.34 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $121.33 (+23.7%), stop $89.54 (−9.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $121.33 (+27.6% upside). Target $121.33 (+23.7%), stop $89.54 (−9.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.5:1. Stop-loss: $89.54.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Illinois (37.0%).
Addus HomeCare Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
20 analysts cover ADUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $139.
What does Addus HomeCare Corporation do?Addus HomeCare provides personal care, hospice, and home health services in 23 states via ~262 offices, serving...
Addus HomeCare provides personal care, hospice, and home health services in 23 states via ~262 offices, serving ~107,000 consumers in 2025. Revenue of $1.42B in 2025 comes primarily from state Medicaid programs (39.3%) and Medicare (20.5%), with Illinois (37.0%), Texas (15.2%), and New Mexico (13.1%) being the largest revenue states.