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CubeSmart (CUBE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

CubeSmart is a self-administered REIT focused on self-storage, owning 662 properties across 25 states and DC with ~48.4M rentable square feet as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue comes from month-to-month leases to ~399,000 customers plus managing 862 third-party stores; no single... Read more

$40.34-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#11 of 15 REIT - Industrial
Stop $38.62Target $40.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$42.00+4.1%15 analysts
$40.24our TP
$40.34price
$42.00mean
$37
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.7
P/E (Fwd)27.5
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn28.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta
Dividend5.24%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicNew York17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our stores in New York, Florida, Texas and California provided approximately 17%, 14%, 11% and 10%, respectively, of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicFlorida14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our stores in New York, Florida, Texas and California provided approximately 17%, 14%, 11% and 10%, respectively, of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
3.3

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.3
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.7
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.95Resistance $41.06

Price Targets

$39
$40
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CUBE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $38.62. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CUBE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.24 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $38.62. Stop-loss: $38.62.

What are the risks of investing in CUBE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is CUBE overvalued or undervalued?

CubeSmart trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 27.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CUBE?

24 analysts cover CUBE with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $42.

What does CubeSmart do?CubeSmart is a self-administered REIT focused on self-storage, owning 662 properties across 25 states and DC with...

CubeSmart is a self-administered REIT focused on self-storage, owning 662 properties across 25 states and DC with ~48.4M rentable square feet as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue comes from month-to-month leases to ~399,000 customers plus managing 862 third-party stores; no single customer represents a significant revenue concentration.

Related stocks: TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · SMA (SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In)