Cresud shows insider buying conviction, a 63% margin of safety, and improving Piotroski quality trends, set against a severe expected earnings decline and a confirmed cyclical-trap valuation warning.
Thesis pillars
- Margin Of Safety Valuation→Stable
- Insider Buying Conviction→Stable
- Cyclical Earnings Trough Risk↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. It operates through Agricultural Business, and Urban Properties and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.
Latest news
- NEWS Cresud FY26 Results: Net income rises 24% to ARS 372 billion - scanx.trade — scanx.trade positive
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - uk.finance.yahoo.com — uk.finance.yahoo.com neutral
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - tradingview.com — tradingview.com neutral
- NEWS CRESUD S.A.C.I.F. y A. announces its results for the Fiscal Year 2026 ended June 30, 2026 - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (NASDAQ:CRESY) Stock Price Up 4.5% - Should You Buy? - marketbeat.com — marketbeat.com positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.09. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $13.48 (+24.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.09. Stop-loss: $10.09.
Earnings expected to decline ~92% (cyclical peak); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. trades at a P/E of 5.6 (forward 67.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover CRESY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $16.
What does Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. do?Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the...
Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. It operates through Agricultural Business, and Urban Properties and Investments segments. The company is also involved in the management, development, and ownership of shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels; sale of grain derivatives, such as flour and oil; production and sale of crops, such as soybean, sugarcane, wheat, corn, oilseed, and sunflower, as well as sorghum and peanuts; and breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to slaughterhouses and supermarkets. In addition, it leases its farms to third parties for agriculture, cattle breeding, and seed production; and offers agricultural services. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.