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CORTCorcept Therapeutics IncorporatHold6.0·$86.28
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Corcept has reached its take-profit ceiling at $83.09 with a negative risk/reward and 15% downside; two consecutive earnings misses have broken the prior beat streak, and a put/call ratio of 4.44 with 11% short interest signals heavy bearish market positioning — making the current setup unfavorable despite strong momentum readings.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Take Profit Negative Asymmetry↑Improving
  • Two Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • Elevated Put Call High Short Interest↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Corcept Therapeutics Incorporat (CORT) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Curant; Concentration risk — Product: Products.

Corcept Therapeutics markets Korlym (mifepristone) and an authorized generic in the US for Cushing's syndrome (hypercortisolism) since 2012, with all revenue from these products collected by specialty pharmacy Curant Health. A relacorilant NDA for ovarian cancer has a PDUFA date... Read more

$86.28+42.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#43 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.83%
Stop $81.61Analyst target $122.67(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst consensus$141.00+63.4%5 analysts
$122.67Analyst target
$86.28price
$141.00mean
$50
$165

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Curant; Concentration risk — Product: Products. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Corcept Therapeutics Incorporat

About Corcept Therapeutics Incorporat

Corcept Therapeutics has marketed Korlym (mifepristone) in the United States for hypercortisolism since 2012, adding an authorized generic in June 2024; all revenue flows from these two products for Cushing's syndrome. On December 30, 2025, the FDA issued a Complete Response Letter declining to approve relacorilant for hypercortisolism, while a second relacorilant NDA for ovarian cancer — accepted in September 2025 — carries a PDUFA date of July 11, 2026.

Korlym and its generic are distributed through Curant Health Georgia, LLC, which became the primary specialty pharmacy vendor in Q4 2025 following termination of the Optime Care relationship in October 2025; the Curant agreement runs to June 2028. Curant collects payments from insurers representing more than 99% of Corcept's revenue. The company's sales model targets physicians via sales representatives and medical science liaisons, with patient assistance programs funding co-pay support. Payer mix includes Medicare and Medicaid; the Inflation Reduction Act's Part D price negotiation program currently exempts orphan drugs indicated for only one rare disease — covering Korlym — and drugs with less than $200 million in annual Medicare expenditures. Generic competition from Teva entered in January 2024; the Federal Circuit affirmed no patent infringement on February 19, 2026, and litigation settlements with Sun Pharmaceutical and Hikma Pharmaceuticals allow those companies to enter commercially if Teva remains in the market.

Show full overview

The December 30, 2025 Complete Response Letter for the hypercortisolism NDA is the most immediate binary risk to Corcept's pipeline; the FDA required additional efficacy evidence despite the GRACE trial meeting its primary endpoint and the GRADIENT trial providing confirmatory data in patients with adrenal-etiology disease. The ovarian cancer indication carries a separate risk profile: the ROSELLA trial met dual primary endpoints for progression-free survival (hazard ratio 0.70, March 2025) and overall survival (hazard ratio 0.65, January 2026), supporting the July 11, 2026 PDUFA date, but any additional FDA request before that date could delay approval.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Corcept Therapeutics Incorporat's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Curant
Concentration risk — Product: Products
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)191.7
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA1116.8
Profit Mgn6.6%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth31.7%
Beta0.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$63-27.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyCurant
    10-K Item 1A: 'Curant, dispenses our Products and performs related pharmacy and patient support services, including the collection of payments from insurers representing more than 99 percent of our revenue'
  • HIGHProductProducts
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ability to generate revenue and to fund our commercial operations and development programs is dependent on the sale of our Products to treat patients with hypercortisolism'
  • HIGHpipelinerelacorilant
    10-K Item 1: 'On December 30, 2025, the FDA issued a Complete Response Letter ("CRL") declining to approve relacorilant'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-28Item 5.02LOW
    On May 21, 2026, shareholders approved an Amendment to the Corcept Therapeutics 2024 Incentive Award Plan, adding 8,000,000 shares to the plan. No officer departure or appointment disclosed under this item.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.5
Rsi
8.7
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 20)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dINSIDER 0.48%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
20 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.13Resistance $122.81

Price Targets

$82
$123
A.Upside+42.2%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CORT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Curant; Concentration risk — Product: Products. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $122.67 (+42.2%), stop $81.61 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CORT stock price target?

Analyst target: $122.67 (+42.2% upside). Analyst target $122.67 (+42.2%), stop $81.61 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $81.61.

What are the risks of investing in CORT?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Curant; Concentration risk — Product: Products; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is CORT overvalued or undervalued?

Corcept Therapeutics Incorporat trades at a P/E of 191.7 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CORT?

12 analysts cover CORT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $141.

What does Corcept Therapeutics Incorporat do?Corcept Therapeutics markets Korlym (mifepristone) and an authorized generic in the US for Cushing's syndrome...

Corcept Therapeutics markets Korlym (mifepristone) and an authorized generic in the US for Cushing's syndrome (hypercortisolism) since 2012, with all revenue from these products collected by specialty pharmacy Curant Health. A relacorilant NDA for ovarian cancer has a PDUFA date of July 11, 2026; a separate relacorilant NDA for hypercortisolism received a Complete Response Letter on December 30, 2025.

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