Skip to main content
CNRCore Natural Resources, Inc.Sell5.0·$87.42-5.15%
Open full analysis

Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Thermal Coal

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.42: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Core Natural Resources produces metallurgical and thermal coals from mining complexes in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Wyoming, and Colorado following its January 2025 all-stock merger with Arch Resources. The company sells coal to electric power generators (73% of 2025 sales... Read more

$87.42+6.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#2 of 4 Thermal Coal
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.93%
IncomeYield0.43%Payout31.82%sustainable
Stop $81.27Target $93.08(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$109.50+25.3%4 analysts
$93.08our TP
$87.42price
$109.50mean
$116

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.42: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Core Natural Resources, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. electric power generators (68.0%)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn-1.5%
ROE-1.7%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.13
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. electric power generators68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company sold approximately 68% of its sales tons to U.S. electric power generators'
  • MEDIUMSupplierconcentrated group of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure this equipment from a concentrated group of suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 43.0%
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $81.67Resistance $99.79

Price Targets

$81
$93
A.Upside+6.5%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $87.42: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $81.27. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.08 (+6.5% upside). Prior stop was $81.27. Stop-loss: $81.27.

What are the risks of investing in CNR?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. electric power generators (68.0%); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is CNR overvalued or undervalued?

Core Natural Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNR?

9 analysts cover CNR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Core Natural Resources, Inc. do?Core Natural Resources produces metallurgical and thermal coals from mining complexes in Pennsylvania, West Virginia,...

Core Natural Resources produces metallurgical and thermal coals from mining complexes in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Wyoming, and Colorado following its January 2025 all-stock merger with Arch Resources. The company sells coal to electric power generators (73% of 2025 sales tons), industrial customers, and metallurgical end-users, exporting 24.5 million tons in 2025 through two East Coast terminals.

Related stocks: ARLP (Alliance Resource Partners, L.P) · NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP Li) · BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
Home Stocks CNR

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga48d agoEarnings