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CIBGrupo Cibest S.A.Sell5.9·$94.67
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank trades at an attractive forward P/E of 8.9x with a PEG of 0.54 and constructive technical momentum, but it has run well beyond the analyst consensus fair-value anchor — implying negative expected return versus that anchor — and the two most recent quarters both missed estimates, reversing a prior two-quarter beat streak, while quality sits at the floor of the minimum acceptable level.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality At The Floor↑Improving
  • Price Above Analyst Anchor↑Improving
  • Recent Earnings Deterioration→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Cibest S.A. (CIB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $94.67 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Grupo Cibest S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Colombia and internationally. It offers deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, fixed-term deposits, and investment products; credit alternatives solutions... Read more

$94.67-22.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#118 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.17%(5y avg 4.05%)Payout31.29%sustainable
Stop $89.01Analyst target $73.71(reached)A.R:R -3.7:1
Analyst consensus$84.72-10.5%11 analysts
$94.67price
$84.72mean
$29
$110

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $94.67 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$22.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE19.2%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta0.44
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$120+26.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Macd
2.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Price Target
3.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst targetEstimates falling as sentiment proxy (-22.9%)
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -3.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.66Resistance $99.07

Price Targets

A.Upside-22.1%
A.R:R-3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.1% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $94.67 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $89.01. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIB stock price target?

Analyst target $73.71 reached (−22.1% from $94.67); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $89.01. Stop-loss: $89.01.

What are the risks of investing in CIB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is CIB overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Cibest S.A. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CIB?

10 analysts cover CIB with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Grupo Cibest S.A. do?Grupo Cibest S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Colombia and...

Grupo Cibest S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Colombia and internationally. It offers deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, fixed-term deposits, and investment products; credit alternatives solutions such as trade financing, working capital loans, mortgages, credit cards, personal, vehicle, payroll, and small business loans, and overdrafts; and factoring. It also provides financial and operating leases; capital markets, such as hedging instruments; trading, including interbank lending, repurchase agreements, foreign exchange transactions, and sovereign and corporate securities trading, brokerage and investment advisory services, access to local and international capital markets, and third-party asset management, as well as cash management, payables and receivables solutions, real-time web services, and SWIFT Net solutions. In addition, it provides foreign currency investment and trade finance solutions such as letters of credit and bills collection; bancassurance and insurance; and investment banking services include project finance, acquisition finance, large corporate loans, loan syndication, debt and equity capital markets, principal investments, mergers and acquisitions, and advisory on hedging strategies and restructurings. Further, it offers trust and fiduciary services, escrow accounts, investment funds, and real estate funds; and Nequi digital platform. Additionally, it provides roadside and medical assistance services; and BRE-b, mortgage lending innovations, payments through wompi, inflation-indexed sustainability loans, and Salud para ti. It serves physical branches, mobile branches, ATMs, online, computer, telephone, and mobile banking, banking correspondents, kiosks, and direct business connections. The company was formerly known as Bancolombia S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Cibest S.A. in May 2025. The company was founded in 1875 and is based in Medellín, Colombia.

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