Revenue has been declining approximately 2% year-over-year and business quality sits below the minimum acceptable threshold, with the price having reached its near-term resistance ceiling and reward-to-risk turning clearly unfavorable — the setup argues for patience at best and exit at worst, with high short interest as the primary contrarian counterweight.
Thesis pillars
- Confirmed Downtrend Declining Ma↓Deteriorating
- Declining Revenue Quality Concerns→Stable
- Target Reached Unfavorable Setup↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
ConAgra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.74: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Conagra Brands is a major North American branded food company selling shelf-stable, frozen, and refrigerated products under brands including Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, and Slim Jim through its Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.74: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft restructuring. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — ConAgra Brands, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Conagra Announces Retirement Of COO Tom McGough, Effective September 4; COO Role To Be Eliminated — benzinga Jul 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Overweight on Conagra Brands, Raises Price Target to $17 — benzinga Jul 17, 2026 neutral
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Conagra Brands, Raises Price Target to $15 — benzinga Jul 16, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on Conagra Brands, Raises Price Target to $14 — benzinga Jul 16, 2026 neutral
- NEWS RBC Capital Maintains Sector Perform on Conagra Brands, Lowers Price Target to $14 — benzinga Jul 16, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-07-31T23:02:53Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerWalmart29%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart, Inc. and its affiliates, accounted for approximately 29% of consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-13Item 5.02MEDIUMConagra Brands appointed John Brase, formerly President and COO of J.M. Smucker, as President and CEO and a new director, effective June 1, 2026. No reason for the CEO transition cited in the excerpt.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Unprofitable operations — net margin -17.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.74: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $13.69. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.21 (-12.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.69. Stop-loss: $13.69.
Target reached (-12.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).
ConAgra Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover CAG with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $14.
What does ConAgra Brands, Inc. do?Conagra Brands is a major North American branded food company selling shelf-stable, frozen, and refrigerated products...
Conagra Brands is a major North American branded food company selling shelf-stable, frozen, and refrigerated products under brands including Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, and Slim Jim through its Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice segments. The company employed approximately 18,300 people as of May 25, 2025, with 44% covered by collective bargaining agreements. Walmart, Conagra's largest customer, accounted for approximately 29% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025.