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CAGConAgra Brands, Inc.Sell4.9·$13.46+0.87%
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ConAgra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.46: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Conagra Brands is a North American branded food company operating across Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice segments, with brands including Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Reddi-wip, and Slim Jim. Walmart and its affiliates accounted... Read more

$13.46+4.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#19 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield10.26%
IncomeYield10.49%(5y avg 4.98%)Payout79.10%
Stop $12.67Target $14.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$14.89+10.6%17 analysts
$14.02our TP
$13.46price
$14.89mean
$12
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.46: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12

Recent Developments — ConAgra Brands, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn-0.4%
ROE-0.5%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta-0.04
Dividend10.49%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerWalmart29%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart, Inc. and its affiliates, accounted for approximately 29% of consolidated net sales for fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    John Brase appointed President and CEO effective June 1, 2026, succeeding current CEO Sean Connolly. Brase previously served as President and COO of J.M. Smucker (April 2025–February 2026) and before that spent ~30 years at P&G. No reason for Connolly's departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.9
Moat
2.5
Roa
2.8
Current Ratio
3.6
Operating Margin
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
1.9
Value Rank
6.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.5
Bollinger
3.9
Support Resistance
4.8
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.53Resistance $14.31

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.46: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $12.67. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.02 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $12.67. Stop-loss: $12.67.

What are the risks of investing in CAG?

Target reached (-0.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is CAG overvalued or undervalued?

ConAgra Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAG?

26 analysts cover CAG with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $15.

What does ConAgra Brands, Inc. do?Conagra Brands is a North American branded food company operating across Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen,...

Conagra Brands is a North American branded food company operating across Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice segments, with brands including Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Reddi-wip, and Slim Jim. Walmart and its affiliates accounted for approximately 29% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025; the company employed approximately 18,300 people as of May 25, 2025.

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