Four consecutive quarters of earnings beats averaging approximately 12% above consensus, a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 16.2x, and a risk/reward ratio of 2.3-to-1 make this an attractively valued government technology franchise; the primary near-term risk is momentum weakness alongside elevated options hedging demand, offset by the observation that the 200-day trend line remains intact and rising.
Thesis pillars
- Attractively Valued Material Upside↓Deteriorating
- Federal Concentration Spending Risk↑Improving
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 6, 2026
CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. At $674.37, A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government contracts (95.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War agencies (53.6%).
CACI International provides technology and expert personnel to U.S. national security agencies across C3I, cyber, digital solutions, enterprise IT, mission and engineering support, space and spectrum superiority. Federal government contracts were 95.6% of fiscal 2026 revenue,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $674.37, A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government contracts (95.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War agencies (53.6%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About CACI International, Inc.
About CACI International, Inc.
CACI International generated 95.7% of fiscal 2025 revenue from federal government contracts, including 75.4% from Department of Defense agencies, with its top ten revenue-producing contracts contributing 46.4% of revenue, or $4.0 billion. Domestic Operations accounted for 97.0% of total revenue, with International Operations, run through CACI Limited and CACI BV in the U.K. and Europe, contributing the remaining 3.0%. CACI completed three acquisitions in fiscal 2025 to expand its software-defined offerings.
CACI earns revenue delivering Expertise (technical and functional talent in software development, intelligence analysis, naval architecture, and network exploitation) and Technology (agile software, AI-enabled data platforms, ERP systems, electromagnetic-spectrum and cyber capabilities) across six domestic market areas - C3I, Cyber, Digital Solutions, Enterprise IT, Mission and Engineering Support, and Space and Spectrum Superiority - primarily as a prime or subcontractor on U.S. government contracts. Contract types span fixed-price, cost-reimbursement, time-and-materials, and indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity (IDIQ) vehicles, including GSA schedule contracts, most won through competitive bidding and containing government-favorable terms such as termination for convenience and option periods the government can decline to exercise. International Operations, headquartered in London, sell IT consultancy and proprietary data and software products to U.K. and European commercial and government customers. CACI has completed seven acquisitions over the past three fiscal years to expand its capabilities and customer relationships.
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A risk distinct from CACI's revenue mix is exposure to the mechanics of federal appropriations rather than demand for its services: the 10-K notes that federal contracts are typically only partially funded at any point during multi-year performance periods, so unfunded backlog depends on future Congressional appropriations, and that when Congress fails to pass a budget or continuing resolution by the government's September 30 fiscal year-end, agencies can be forced to suspend contracts and delay new awards. Because CACI is not the sole provider on many of its IDIQ vehicles, the government can also direct work to competing contractors even within a contract CACI has already won, meaning the maximum contract value disclosed for an award is not a reliable predictor of the revenue CACI will actually realize.
See also: Technology · Information Technology Services
From CACI International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — CACI International, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS CACI International (CACI) to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Is CACI International (CACI) Undervalued Following Its Rochester Manufacturing Expansion? - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS CACI International (NYSE:CACI) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS CACI International tops quarterly estimates, raises revenue outlook (CACI:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - cbs19news.com — cbs19news.com neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:45Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal government contracts96%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues from federal government contracts, either as a prime contractor or a subcontractor, accounting for 95.6% and 95.7% of our total revenues in fiscal 2026 and 2025, respectively'
- HIGHCustomerDepartment of War agencies54%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 53.6% and 53.5% of our total revenues in fiscal 2026 and 2025, respectively, from contracts with agencies of the Department of War'
- LOWCustomerIntelligence Community25%10-K Item 1A: 'We also generated 24.6% and 25.6% of our total revenues in fiscal 2026 and 2025, respectively, from contracts with the Intelligence Community'
- LOWCustomertop ten revenue-producing contracts23%10-K Item 1: 'the top ten revenue-producing contracts, many of which consist of multiple task orders, accounted for 22.5% of our revenues, or $2.2 billion'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $674.37, A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government contracts (95.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War agencies (53.6%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $634.07. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $672.48 reached (−0.3% from $674.37); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $634.07. Stop-loss: $634.07.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal government contracts (95.6%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War agencies (53.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $747.
What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides technology and expert personnel to U.S. national security agencies across C3I, cyber,...
CACI International provides technology and expert personnel to U.S. national security agencies across C3I, cyber, digital solutions, enterprise IT, mission and engineering support, space and spectrum superiority. Federal government contracts were 95.6% of fiscal 2026 revenue, including 53.6% from the Department of War and 24.6% from the Intelligence Community, with the top ten contracts at 22.5% (about $2.2 billion). Founded in 1962, it has completed eight acquisitions in three years.