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CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $512.34: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%).

CACI International provides expertise and technology services primarily to U.S. national security, defense, and intelligence agencies across C3I, cyber, digital solutions, and enterprise IT market areas. Federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of revenues in fiscal... Read more

$512.34+18.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 35 Information Technology Services
Stop $476.05Target $605.92(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$696.46+35.9%13 analysts
$605.92our TP
$512.34price
$696.46mean
$800

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $512.34: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%)
Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$11.5B
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$420-18.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerfederal government96%
    10-K Item 1A: 'revenues from federal government contracts, either as a prime contractor or a subcontractor, accounting for 95.7% and 95.1% of our total revenues in fiscal 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • HIGHCustomerDoD75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 75.4% and 74.4% of our total revenues in fiscal 2025 and 2024, respectively, from contracts with agencies of the DoD.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $490.75Resistance $590.55

Price Targets

$476
$606
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts23
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$696

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CACI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $512.34: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $476.05. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CACI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $605.92 (+18.4% upside). Prior stop was $476.05. Stop-loss: $476.05.

What are the risks of investing in CACI?

Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is CACI overvalued or undervalued?

CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CACI?

23 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $696.

What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides expertise and technology services primarily to U.S. national security, defense, and...

CACI International provides expertise and technology services primarily to U.S. national security, defense, and intelligence agencies across C3I, cyber, digital solutions, and enterprise IT market areas. Federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of revenues in fiscal 2025, with 75.4% from DoD agencies.

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