CACI International, Inc. (CACI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Information Technology Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $507.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%).
CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with Domestic Operations representing 97.0% of fiscal 2025 revenues. Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of total revenues in fiscal 2025,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $507.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
About CACI International, Inc.
About CACI International, Inc.
Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of CACI International's total revenues in fiscal 2025 (fiscal year ended June 30, 2025), with the Department of Defense alone generating 75.4% of total revenues. Domestic Operations represented 97.0% of revenues for the year, with approximately 25,000 employees spanning seven domestic market areas, including C3I, Cyber, Digital Solutions, and Enterprise IT. International Operations (3.0% of revenues) operate primarily through subsidiaries CACI Limited and CACI BV in the U.K. and Europe.
CACIearns revenue through a mix of fixed-price, cost-reimbursement, time-and-materials, and IDIQ contracts with federal agencies in defense, intelligence, and civilian sectors. The top ten revenue-producing contracts accounted for 46.4% of revenues, or $4.0 billion, in fiscal 2025. Government contracts include a base period and discrete option periods; option periods typically cover more than half of contract duration, and agencies retain the right not to exercise them, creating a gap between total backlog and funded backlog. A portion of revenues comes from subcontracting and teaming arrangements, making performance partly dependent on prime contractors. CACI competes in a highly competitive market against firms with greater financial resources and acknowledges it holds a relatively small share of the addressable market. International Operations focus on commercial and government enterprises in the U.K., offering IT consultancy services and proprietary data and software products.
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The 10-K identifies federal government dependency as the primary risk: if CACI were suspended or debarred from contracting, or if the government significantly decreased business, operations would be materially and adversely affected. The risk compounds across multiple dimensions — budget continuing resolutions may force contract suspensions and delay new awards; DoD's 75.4% share of revenues exposes the company to defense spending shifts; and the Defense Contract Audit Agency may revoke direct billing privileges or impose contractual withholdings, slowing revenue collection. In June 2026, CACI disclosed via Form 8-K the retirement of DeEtte Gray, President of U.S. Operations, effective June 30, 2026, with a structured transition to Strategic Advisor through December 2026.
See also: Technology · Information Technology Services
From CACI International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — CACI International, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Jun 5, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: DeEtte Gray, President U.S. Operations, notified CACI of intention to retire effective June 30, 2026. At Company's request, Gray agreed to remain as Strategic Advisor July 1–December 31, 2026 to support orderly transition. No successor named for the President role.
Latest news
- NEWS CACI International (NYSE:CACI) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS CACI International tops quarterly estimates, raises revenue outlook (CACI:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - cbs19news.com — cbs19news.com neutral
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com — kare11.com neutral
- NEWS CACI International: Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - KVUE — KVUE neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerfederal government96%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues from federal government contracts, either as a prime contractor or a subcontractor, accounting for 95.7%...of our total revenues in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerDoD75%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 75.4%...of our total revenues in fiscal 2025...from contracts with agencies of the DoD'
- HIGHGeographicDomestic Operations97%10-K Item 1: 'Domestic Operations represented 97.0%...of our total revenues for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten revenue-producing contracts46%10-K Item 1: 'the top ten revenue-producing contracts...accounted for 46.4% of our revenues, or $4.0 billion'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-05Item 5.02MEDIUMDeEtte Gray, President U.S. Operations, notified CACI of intention to retire effective June 30, 2026. At Company's request, Gray agreed to remain as Strategic Advisor July 1–December 31, 2026 to support orderly transition. No successor named for the President role.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $507.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $472.37. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $588.74 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $472.37. Stop-loss: $472.37.
Concentration risk — Customer: federal government (95.7%); Concentration risk — Customer: DoD (75.4%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
CACI International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover CACI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $677.
What does CACI International, Inc. do?CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with...
CACI International provides expertise and technology to U.S. federal defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies, with Domestic Operations representing 97.0% of fiscal 2025 revenues. Revenue from federal government contracts accounted for 95.7% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with the Department of Defense generating 75.4%; the company employs approximately 25,000 people.