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SNYSanofiBuy Wait5.5·$43.10-3.90%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanofi is a large pharmaceutical company with strong 16% operating margins, 221% free cash flow conversion, and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but faces a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and a dividend payout ratio of 552% that appears structurally unsustainable.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings BeatsImproving
  • Death Cross Confirmed DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanofi (SNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitValueModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $42.54. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.10. Engine's entry $42.54 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib)... Read more

$43.10+11.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield15.53%
IncomeYield5.31%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout97.73%at-risk
Entry $42.54(support + ATR (held))Stop $40.39Target $47.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$55.06+27.7%9 analysts
$47.90our TP
$43.10price
$55.06mean
$63

Wait for pullback to $42.54. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.10. Engine's entry $42.54 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$107.4B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta0.28
Dividend5.31%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$30-30.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $41.42Resistance $45.66

Price Targets

$40
$43
$48
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $42.54. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.10. Engine's entry $42.54 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $47.90 (+11.1%), stop $40.39 (−6.7%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.90 (+11.7% upside). Target $47.90 (+11.1%), stop $40.39 (−6.7%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $40.39.

Is SNY overvalued or undervalued?

Sanofi trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SNY?

29 analysts cover SNY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Sanofi do?Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides...

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) pediatric vaccines; respiratory syncytial virus protection and hexavalent combination vaccines that includes hepatitis A, typhoid, yellow fever, and rabies vaccines. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Exscientia to develop up to 15 novel small-molecule for oncology and immunology; ABL Bio, Inc. to develop ABL301 for treatment of alpha-synucleinopathies; and Innate Pharma SA for cell engager program targeting B7-H3. Further, it has a collaboration agreements with Atomwise to use ATOMNET platform and Insilico Medicine to use Pharma.AI, a medicine's AI platform; Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize protein degrader therapies targeting IRAK4 in patients with immune-inflammatory diseases; Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. to develop protein degradation therapies; Denali Therapeutics Inc. to treat systemic inflammatory diseases, such as ulcerative colitis; and Adagene Inc. for development of antibody-based therapies. Additionally, it has a collaboration with Scribe Therapeutics Inc. to develop genome editing technologies; Teva Pharmaceuticals to co-develop and co-commercialize TEV'574, for treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; and co-promotion service agreement with Provention Bio, Inc. for the commercialization of teplizumab. The company was formerly known as Sanofi-Aventis and changed its name to Sanofi in May 2011. Sanofi was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · BIIB (Biogen Inc.) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · PFE (Pfizer, Inc.)
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