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BMRNBioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.Sell5.2·$55.88+0.61%
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BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $55.88: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical develops and commercializes rare disease medicines with 8 commercial products including VOXZOGO ($926.9M) for achondroplasia, VIMIZIM ($792.1M) for MPS IVA, and NAGLAZYME ($485.4M) for MPS VI, totaling $3.2B in 2025 revenues. Products target genetically... Read more

$55.88+41.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#84 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.28%
Stop $52.31Target $79.06(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$87.85+57.2%26 analysts
$79.06our TP
$55.88price
$87.85mean
$120

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $55.88: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 41%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.0
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$10.7B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-3 customers37%
    10-K Item 1: 'During 2025, 37% of our net product revenue was generated by three customers'
  • HIGHCustomerSanofi
    10-K Item 1: 'Sanofi is our sole customer for ALDURAZYME and is responsible for distributing, marketing, and selling ALDURAZYME to third parties'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $49.26Resistance $58.26

Price Targets

$52
$79
A.Upside+41.5%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts34
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$88

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMRN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $55.88: Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $52.31. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMRN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.06 (+41.3% upside). Prior stop was $52.31. Stop-loss: $52.31.

What are the risks of investing in BMRN?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (37.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sanofi; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is BMRN overvalued or undervalued?

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.0 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMRN?

34 analysts cover BMRN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $88.

What does BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. do?BioMarin Pharmaceutical develops and commercializes rare disease medicines with 8 commercial products including VOXZOGO...

BioMarin Pharmaceutical develops and commercializes rare disease medicines with 8 commercial products including VOXZOGO ($926.9M) for achondroplasia, VIMIZIM ($792.1M) for MPS IVA, and NAGLAZYME ($485.4M) for MPS VI, totaling $3.2B in 2025 revenues. Products target genetically defined small patient populations requiring high per-patient pricing with global commercialization. A pending $4.8B acquisition of Amicus Therapeutics is expected to close in Q2 2026.

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