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BMIBadger Meter, Inc.Sell4.7·$130.53+0.15%
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Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $130.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Utility Water (89.0%).

Badger Meter manufactures water management solutions including smart meters, water quality sensors, leak detection hardware, and BEACON SaaS for water utilities, with ~95% of net sales from water-related applications. Revenue splits ~89% utility water and ~11% flow... Read more

$130.53+0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#14 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.71%
IncomeYield1.23%(5y avg 0.73%)Payout34.84%sustainable
Stop $121.39Target $131.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$147.00+12.6%9 analysts
$131.30our TP
$130.53price
$147.00mean
$110
$169

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $130.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Utility Water (89.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Badger Meter, Inc.

About Badger Meter, Inc.

Badger Meter's Utility Water segment generated approximately 89% of 2025 net sales, covering water meters, ORION AMI radio endpoints, BEACON SaaS, and water quality sensors for utility customers; Flow Instrumentation accounted for the remaining 11%. The company spent $21.6 million on R&D in 2025, employed 2,477 people at December 31, 2025, and estimates roughly 40% of U.S. water meters have converted to AMI systems, with the majority still subject to upgrade.

Badger Meter earns revenue from hardware sales (meters, endpoints, sensors), SaaS subscriptions (BEACON), and professional services, with margins driven by mix toward radio-equipped AMI meters, ultrasonic units, and water quality monitoring versus lower-margin mechanical and manually-read products. Utility water is sold primarily through a direct salesforce with regional distributors; flow instrumentation moves through manufacturer representatives and original equipment manufacturers into water/wastewater, HVAC, and corporate sustainability applications. Competition in the utility water product line includes Sensus (Xylem Inc.), Neptune (Roper Technologies), Itron, Aclara (Hubbell), Mueller Water Products, and Kamstrup. The company relies on single suppliers for brass castings, resins, and microprocessors, and acknowledges that while alternatives are available, losing any of these suppliers could cause short-term cost increases, delivery delays, and quality control expenses. The company manufactures domestically in Milwaukee, Racine, and Tulsa, and internationally in Nogales (Mexico), Brno (Czech Republic), and Bern (Switzerland).

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Tariffs compound BMI's single-source supplier exposure: the company manufactures in Mexico and Europe, and the 10-K notes tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, Canada, and Europe could harm sales and results of operations, particularly within non-US manufacturing facilities where raw material costs for brass-based castings and electronic subassemblies are most directly affected. The cancellation or significant modification of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) could raise tariff costs and disrupt the supply chain from Nogales, Mexico, a named manufacturing location.

See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

From Badger Meter, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Utility Water (89.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.5
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE19.6%
Rev Growth-9.0%
Beta0.68
Dividend1.23%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$200+53.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductUtility Water89%
    10-K Item 1: 'Utility Water Product Line (approximately 89% of Net Sales in 2025)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.3
Declining revenue: -9%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.3
Bollinger
1.4
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 123.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $113.66Resistance $133.98

Price Targets

$121
$131
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $130.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Utility Water (89.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $121.39. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the BMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $131.30 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $121.39. Stop-loss: $121.39.

What are the risks of investing in BMI?

Concentration risk — Product: Utility Water (89.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is BMI overvalued or undervalued?

Badger Meter, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.5 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMI?

17 analysts cover BMI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $147.

What does Badger Meter, Inc. do?Badger Meter manufactures water management solutions including smart meters, water quality sensors, leak detection...

Badger Meter manufactures water management solutions including smart meters, water quality sensors, leak detection hardware, and BEACON SaaS for water utilities, with ~95% of net sales from water-related applications. Revenue splits ~89% utility water and ~11% flow instrumentation, sold to utilities and industrial customers primarily in North America. No single customer exceeds 10% of sales.

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