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BATRKAtlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. -Sell3.7·$49.79
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Atlanta Braves Holdings has a 3-of-4 earnings beat record and 11.1% upside to the analyst target, but a quality score of 0.6, declining revenue, negative cash flow and $15.3M of recent insider selling dominate.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Record→Stable
  • Weak Quality No Moat→Stable
  • Declining Revenue→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. - (BATRK) Stock Analysis

SellShortHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.79: Quality below floor (0.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Atlanta Braves Holdings owns and operates the Atlanta Braves MLB franchise and the 2.25 million square-foot Battery Atlanta mixed-use development in Cobb County, Georgia. Revenue flows from ticket sales, concessions, local and national broadcasting rights, advertising... Read more

$49.79+10.8% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#30 of 31 Entertainment
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield-0.63%
Stop $47.53Analyst target $55.16(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst consensus$63.40+27.3%5 analysts
$55.16Analyst target
$49.79price
$63.40mean
$74

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.79: Quality below floor (0.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. -

About Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. -

Atlanta Braves Holdings controls the oldest continuously operating professional sports franchise in the United States — a club that won the 2021 World Series and reached the postseason in nine of the fourteen seasons through 2025. The franchise plays 81 home games annually at Truist Park in Cobb County, anchoring the 2.25 million square-foot Battery Atlanta complex that became operational in 2017. Postseason revenue totaled $11.3 million in 2023 but only $2.0 million in 2024 after an early exit, and the Braves hold the largest radio affiliate network in MLB with 170 stations across the southeast United States.

Atlanta Braves Holdings generates revenue across two segments: Baseball and Mixed-Use Development. Baseball revenue flows from ticket sales, concessions, local and national broadcasting rights, advertising sponsorships, and premium suite licensing, as well as shared MLB pools through national deals with ESPN, TBS, Fox, NBC Universal, Apple, and Roku. Revenue from the Baseball segment is highly seasonal, concentrated in the second and third quarters aligned with the 162-game regular season. Mixed-Use Development revenue derives primarily from office and retail rental income at The Battery Atlanta — including a new 0.25 million square-foot office building that opened in July 2025 — providing year-round cash flow that partially offsets the seasonal Baseball pattern. Player salary commitments totaling $285.8 million due in 2026 alone represent the dominant fixed cost, calibrated against an Annual Player Salary Budget that management adjusts as the season progresses.

Show full overview

The current collective bargaining agreement covers the 2022 through 2026 MLB seasons, meaning labor negotiations will reopen before the 2027 campaign and could postpone or cancel games if a new agreement is not reached. Simultaneously, the Braves terminated the Braves Broadcast Agreement with Main Street Sports Group in January 2026 after the broadcaster failed to make contractual payments, and launched BravesVision — a company-owned multimedia platform — as the local television home beginning with the 2026 season. The 10-K acknowledges this new platform may provide less revenue than the prior arrangement, leaving local broadcasting economics unproven in the near term.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. -'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. -

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-84.9
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA100.3
Profit Mgn-8.6%
ROE-12.0%
Rev Growth-2.3%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV47%normal
Max Pain$60+20.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of broadcasting partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'A majority of this revenue is reliant on a limited number of broadcasting partners'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Gross Margin
1.0
Current Ratio
2.0
Moat
2.5
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -2.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.9
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dINSIDER 0.48%=MODERATEA.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.52Resistance $53.43

Price Targets

$48
$55
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BATRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.79: Quality below floor (0.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $47.53. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the BATRK stock price target?

Analyst target: $55.16 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $47.53. Stop-loss: $47.53.

What are the risks of investing in BATRK?

Quality below floor (0.6 < 4.0).

Is BATRK overvalued or undervalued?

Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. - trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -84.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BATRK?

11 analysts cover BATRK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. - do?Atlanta Braves Holdings owns and operates the Atlanta Braves MLB franchise and the 2.25 million square-foot Battery...

Atlanta Braves Holdings owns and operates the Atlanta Braves MLB franchise and the 2.25 million square-foot Battery Atlanta mixed-use development in Cobb County, Georgia. Revenue flows from ticket sales, concessions, local and national broadcasting rights, advertising sponsorships, and office/retail rental income across its Baseball and Mixed-Use Development segments.

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