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ASBAssociated Banc-CorpHold6.0·$29.56+2.07%
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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (65.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC.

Associated Banc-Corp is the largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, operating 184 branches across Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Missouri through its nationally chartered subsidiary Associated Bank, with roughly 4,000 employees. Revenue is... Read more

$29.56-1.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#62 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.21%(5y avg 3.86%)Payout32.64%sustainable
Stop $28.36Target $29.04(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$31.00+4.9%9 analysts
$29.04our TP
$29.56price
$31.00mean
$27
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (65.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Associated Banc-Corp

About Associated Banc-Corp

The largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, Associated Banc-Corp operated 184 banking branches in Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Missouri as of December 31, 2025, with Associated Bank supervised by the OCC. Commercial and industrial, real estate construction, and CRE loans combined totaled 65% of the loan portfolio at that date. The company employed roughly 4,000 colleagues and on April 1, 2026 completed its previously announced acquisition of American National Corporation, valued at approximately $604 million based on Associated's closing stock price as of November 28, 2025.

Associated Banc-Corp earns primarily through net interest income on a loan book concentrated in commercial credits. CRE loans—including owner-occupied, investor, and construction—totaled $8.4 billion, or 27% of the total loan portfolio, and represented 183% of total risk-based capital at December 31, 2025. Nonaccrual CRE loans were $8.7 million, less than 1% of the CRE portfolio. On the funding side, estimated uninsured and uncollateralized deposits were $9.4 billion, or 26.5% of total deposits at December 31, 2025, a liquidity concentration the 10-K flags in the context of the 2023 bank failures. Moody's and S&P Global Ratings each downgraded the company's long-term issuer credit ratings in August 2023; those ratings were unchanged as of December 31, 2025. The Federal Reserve oversees the holding company under the BHC Act while the OCC has primary supervisory and regulatory authority over Associated Bank.

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Credit cycle exposure is concentrated in CRE: the 10-K notes that CRE loans generally involve greater credit risk than residential mortgages due to larger balances and dependence on successful property operation. The filing flags that the outlook for CRE depends on how major subsectors respond to higher vacancy rates as loans come up for refinancing, and that the deterioration of one or a few large commercial loans could cause a significant increase in nonaccrual loans and materially affect financial condition.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Associated Banc-Corp's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (65.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.3
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.4%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.79
Dividend3.21%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$30+1.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans65%
    10-K Item 1A: '65% of our loan portfolio consisted of commercial and industrial, real estate construction, and CRE loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioCRE loans27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'CRE loans, including owner occupied, investor, and real estate construction loans, totaled $8.4 billion, or 27%, of our total loan portfolio and 183% of total risk-based capital'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliouninsured deposits27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Estimated uninsured and uncollateralized deposits, excluding intercompany deposits, were $9.4 billion or 26.5% of total deposits at December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicfour-state branch footprint
    10-K Item 1: 'serving more than 100 communities, primarily within our four-state branch footprint'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'Associated Bank and our nationally-chartered trust company subsidiary are regulated, supervised and examined by the OCC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Associated completed acquisition of American National Corporation on April 1, 2026. Board expanded from 13 to 14 directors; one new director appointed. Routine board change in connection with merger close.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.83Resistance $29.63

Price Targets

$28
$29
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (65.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.04 (-1.8%), stop $28.36 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.04 (-1.8% upside). Target $29.04 (-1.8%), stop $28.36 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $28.36.

What are the risks of investing in ASB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (65.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ASB overvalued or undervalued?

Associated Banc-Corp trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ASB?

13 analysts cover ASB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Associated Banc-Corp do?Associated Banc-Corp is the largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, operating 184 branches across...

Associated Banc-Corp is the largest bank holding company headquartered in Wisconsin, operating 184 branches across Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Missouri through its nationally chartered subsidiary Associated Bank, with roughly 4,000 employees. Revenue is relationship-driven across three segments: Corporate and Commercial Specialty, Community Consumer and Business, and Risk Management and Shared Services.

Related stocks: INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation)
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