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APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.Sell5.4·$44.73
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

APOG combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with an attractive valuation, but declining revenue, a lagging quality profile, and stalled momentum after already reaching its price target keep the setup mixed.

Thesis pillars

  • Beat Streak Attractive Valuation→Stable
  • Declining Revenue Growth↑Improving
  • No Competitive Moat↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

We are a leading provider of architectural building products and services, as well as high-performance coated materials used in a variety of applications.

$44.73-3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#14 of 25 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.49%
IncomeYield2.41%(5y avg 2.00%)Payout33.86%sustainable
Stop $41.87Analyst target $43.35(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$51.00+14.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 6, 202768d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 43%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$935M
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta1.10
Dividend2.41%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV39%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-09-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers (b) On September 10, 2026, Patricia K. Wagner informed the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Apogee Enterprises, Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangement of Certain Officers (d) On August 5, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (the "Company") elected Joseph B.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
4.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.35Resistance $45.39

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-06 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APOG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.87. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APOG stock price target?

Analyst target $43.35 reached (−3.1% from $44.73); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $41.87. Stop-loss: $41.87.

What are the risks of investing in APOG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is APOG overvalued or undervalued?

Apogee Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APOG?

8 analysts cover APOG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Apogee Enterprises, Inc. do?We are a leading provider of architectural building products and services, as well as high-performance coated materials...

We are a leading provider of architectural building products and services, as well as high-performance coated materials used in a variety of applications.

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