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APMDApnimed, Inc.Sell5.2·$19.15
SellModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Declining Revenue Weak Quality→Stable
  • Large Analyst Upside Gap→Stable
  • Insider Accumulation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Apnimed, Inc. (APMD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $19.15: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Apnimed, Inc. operates as a clinical pharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures novel oral therapies that address the neurobiology of sleep-related breathing diseases in global markets. It offers AD109, an oral therapy designed to treat obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)... Read more

$19.15+123.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#148 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $17.81Analyst target $42.78(−15% haircut)A.R:R 8.2:1
Analyst consensus$50.33+162.8%3 analysts
$42.78Analyst target
$19.15price
$50.33mean
$60

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $19.15: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.7
P/E (Fwd)-4.8
Mkt Cap$797M
EV/EBITDA26.8
Profit Mgn142.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth-29.4%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -29.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -29%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 13 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 8.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.43Resistance $24.50

Price Targets

$18
$43
A.Upside+123.4%
A.R:R8.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$50

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APMD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $19.15: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.81. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APMD stock price target?

Analyst target: $42.78 (+123.4% upside). Prior stop was $17.81. Stop-loss: $17.81.

What are the risks of investing in APMD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Weak growth.

Is APMD overvalued or undervalued?

Apnimed, Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.7 (forward -4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APMD?

10 analysts cover APMD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Apnimed, Inc. do?Apnimed, Inc. operates as a clinical pharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures novel oral therapies that...

Apnimed, Inc. operates as a clinical pharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures novel oral therapies that address the neurobiology of sleep-related breathing diseases in global markets. It offers AD109, an oral therapy designed to treat obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) by targeting the underlying neuromuscular dysfunction. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · PHAT (Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
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