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APAMArtisan Partners Asset ManagemeHold5.9·$34.73
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Artisan Partners is a high-quality asset management franchise generating 23% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and three quarters of earnings beats — but the stock is currently trading roughly 10% above analyst consensus price targets in a confirmed falling-knife technical configuration, creating a challenging near-term setup despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Margin Profile→Stable
  • Stock Above Analyst Consensus↓Deteriorating
  • Falling Knife Technical Configuration→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61%... Read more

$34.73-13.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#66 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.81%
IncomeYield10.38%(5y avg 7.35%)Payout81.69%at-risk
Stop $32.49Analyst target $29.96(reached)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst consensus$35.25+1.5%4 analysts
$34.73price
$35.25mean
$31
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 2, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.1
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn24.1%
ROE64.6%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.69
Dividend10.38%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C8.00bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. company strategies48%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 48% of our AUM were invested in strategies that primarily invest in securities of non-U.S. companies'
  • LOWCustomerlargest separate account12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest separate account relationship representing approximately 12% of our AUM'
  • LOWCustomertwo largest intermediary relationships9.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest intermediary relationships across multiple distribution channels each represented approximately 9% of our total AUM'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.4
Support Resistance
3.4
Gap
4.0
52w Position
5.7
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.86Resistance $36.73

Price Targets

A.Upside-13.7%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-02 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APAM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $29.96 reached (−13.7%), stop $32.49 (−6.9%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APAM stock price target?

Analyst target $29.96 reached (−13.7% from $34.73); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $29.96 reached (−13.7%), stop $32.49 (−6.9%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $32.49.

What are the risks of investing in APAM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is APAM overvalued or undervalued?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme trades at a P/E of 8.1 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about APAM?

9 analysts cover APAM with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Artisan Partners Asset Manageme do?Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and...

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61% of assets sourced through intermediated wealth channels and 39% through institutional channels.

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