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APAMArtisan Partners Asset ManagemeBuy Wait6.0·$39.66-1.69%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Artisan Partners is a high-quality asset management franchise generating 23% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and three quarters of earnings beats — but the stock is currently trading roughly 10% above analyst consensus price targets in a confirmed falling-knife technical configuration, creating a challenging near-term setup despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Margin ProfileStable
  • Stock Above Analyst ConsensusDeteriorating
  • Falling Knife Technical ConfigurationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $36.98. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $39.66. Engine's entry $36.98 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61%... Read more

$39.66-20.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#66 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.12%
IncomeYield8.41%(5y avg 7.66%)Payout82.71%at-risk
Entry $36.98(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $34.47Target $41.54(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$37.00-6.7%4 analysts
$41.54our TP
$39.66price
$37.00mean
$33
$44

Wait for pullback to $36.98. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $39.66. Engine's entry $36.98 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.78)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn23.5%
ROE72.5%
Rev Growth9.3%
Beta1.67
Dividend8.41%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. company strategies48%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 48% of our AUM were invested in strategies that primarily invest in securities of non-U.S. companies'
  • LOWCustomerlargest separate account12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest separate account relationship representing approximately 12% of our AUM'
  • LOWCustomertwo largest intermediary relationships9.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest intermediary relationships across multiple distribution channels each represented approximately 9% of our total AUM'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
4.8
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.12Resistance $42.39

Price Targets

$34
$37
$42
A.Upside-20.7%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APAM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $36.98. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $39.66. Engine's entry $36.98 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $41.54 (+4.7%), stop $34.47 (−15.1%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.54 (-20.7% upside). Target $41.54 (+4.7%), stop $34.47 (−15.1%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $34.47.

What are the risks of investing in APAM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is APAM overvalued or undervalued?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APAM?

9 analysts cover APAM with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Artisan Partners Asset Manageme do?Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and...

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61% of assets sourced through intermediated wealth channels and 39% through institutional channels.

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