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APAMArtisan Partners Asset ManagemeBuy Wait5.6·$34.79-6.45%
APAM · Why this verdict

Why Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.5/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.1
P/S8.9
EV/EBITDA7.8
Fwd P/E9.4
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 9.3x
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA10.0
Gross margin5.2
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio9.7
FCF quality7.0
Moat6.9
Piotroski F7.8
  • Excellent ROE: 72%
  • Strong margins: 23%
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
  • High-quality business

Growth

2.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.8
EPS growth0.5

Momentum

3.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD0.6
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume9.9
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

5.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target6.2
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.5
quality rank7.3
growth rank6.5
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

8.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger10.0
support resistance10.0
52w position5.8

Risk (lower is worse)

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest4.5
days to cover2.3
volatility5.4
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta4.5
debt equity7.4
  • High IV: 129%
  • Above max pain $22

Catalyst

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg4.5
dividend safety5.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 912.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Fundamentals strong but target reached (-7.8% upside).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_A_VALUE_MOS33|V8:TARGET_REACHED|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BAND
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
  • MOMENTUM:3.2<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-1.4=NEGATIVE
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-1.37
Upside
-7.8%
Downside
5.7%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupFALLING_KNIFE Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (8.5) with weak momentum (3.2)

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.66>1.3, MCap $2.6B<$5B

Investment implication

The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 3.2<4.5 outcome against Technical at 8.6 and asymmetric R:R of -1.37.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.6, Quality at 8.5, and Value at 7.5; the weakest are Growth at 2.6, Momentum at 3.2, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.37 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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