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ANLAdlai Nortye Group Ltd.Sell4.7·$10.20
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Adlai Nortye combines explosive revenue growth with severe cash burn, an unreliable analyst price target, and a business-quality score below the investment floor, leaving the growth narrative overshadowed by financial and data-quality concerns.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Severe Cash Burn→Stable
  • Unreliable Analyst Target Data↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. (ANL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.20: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 10.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of cancer therapies. The company's pipeline centers on RAS-targeting therapies and next-generation cancer immunotherapies. Its RAS-targeting programs include AN9025, an... Read more

$10.20+151.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#202 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.74%
Stop $9.74Analyst target $25.66(−13% haircut)A.R:R 10.1:1
Analyst consensus$29.50+189.2%6 analysts
$25.66Analyst target
$10.20price
$29.50mean
$49

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.20: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 10.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-34.7
Mkt Cap$657M
EV/EBITDA-20.8
Profit Mgn-124.8%
ROE-20.2%
Rev Growth—
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+19.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Unprofitable operations — net margin -124.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Moat
6.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -63% of revenue

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 10.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
23 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.04Resistance $16.73

Price Targets

$10
$26
A.Upside+151.6%
A.R:R10.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ANL.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.20: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 10.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.74. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANL stock price target?

Analyst target: $25.66 (+151.6% upside). Prior stop was $9.74. Stop-loss: $9.74.

What are the risks of investing in ANL?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is ANL overvalued or undervalued?

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -34.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANL?

11 analysts cover ANL with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. do?Adlai Nortye Group Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of cancer...

Adlai Nortye Group Ltd., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of cancer therapies. The company's pipeline centers on RAS-targeting therapies and next-generation cancer immunotherapies. Its RAS-targeting programs include AN9025, an oral pan-RAS(ON) inhibitor for RAS-driven cancers, and AN4035, a CEACAM5-targeting antibody-drug conjugate that delivers a pan-RAS(ON) inhibitor to tumors. Its immunotherapy programs include AN8025, a tri-functional fusion protein (aPD-L1 x CD86 variant x LAG3 variant) that modulates T-cells and antigen-presenting cells; AN0025, a small molecule EP4 antagonist; and AN4005, an oral small-molecule PD-L1 inhibitor. The company supports its pipeline through an immuno-oncology research and development platform with operations in the United States and China. Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. was formerly known as Adlai Nortye Ltd. and changed its name to Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. in July, 2026. Adlai Nortye Group Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Singapore.

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