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ANETArista Networks, Inc.Hold6.1·$158.35-4.61%
ANET · Why this verdict

Why Arista Networks (ANET) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E2.4
P/S0.0
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E3.1
PEG4.4
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 34.7x
  • PEG: 2.13

Quality

9.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA9.6
Gross margin8.7
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio9.5
FCF quality7.9
Moat8.0
Piotroski F10.0
  • Excellent ROE: 32%
  • Strong margins: 38%
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth

Growth

8.5/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth7.0
  • Strong growth: 35% YoY

Momentum

5.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD10.0
OBV1.0
MA position9.0
Volume1.9
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

8.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.5
Analyst rating9.0
Price target7.9
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.70 (n=2)
  • Analyst upside: 22%

Insider

3.4/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.1
  • Notable insider selling — $314,942,972 (0.162% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.0
quality rank6.9
growth rank3.0

Technical

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger4.6
support resistance5.5
52w position7.2
gap7.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.0
days to cover9.1
volatility0.0
put call6.3
implied vol0.8
max pain risk3.0
beta4.6
  • High IV: 75%
  • Above max pain $90
  • Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg6.2
news activity6.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.5>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:0.8<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
0.79
Upside
+9.8%
Downside
12.4%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupBREAKOUT Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.61>1.3

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.5>=4.5. Top dim: Quality at 9.3; weakest: Value at 3.0. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 9.3, Growth at 8.5, and Sentiment at 8.5; the weakest are Value at 3.0, Insider at 3.4, and Peer rank at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.79 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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