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AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.Sell5.6·$42.21
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging approximately 38% above consensus and healthy price momentum demonstrate operational execution, but negative free cash flow, business quality below the 4.0 minimum threshold, roughly 83% revenue concentration in a single product category, and just 1.7% headroom to the near-term resistance target combine to make the current risk-adjusted setup unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Advanced Products Concentration Risk↑Improving
  • Fcf Negative Quality Below Floor→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Four Quarters↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $42.21: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, offering packaging, wafer-level, and SiP solutions for smartphones, data centers, AI, and automotive markets. In 2025, Amkor generated $6,708 million in net sales,... Read more

$42.21+36.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#17 of 24 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-5.23%
IncomeYield0.84%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout13.47%sustainable
Stop $39.26Analyst target $57.42(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$66.00+56.4%10 analysts
$57.42Analyst target
$42.21price
$66.00mean
$92

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $42.21: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 102d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Amkor Technology, Inc.

About Amkor Technology, Inc.

Advanced Products represented 82.8% of Amkor Technology's $6,708 million in net sales in 2025, with advanced SiP modules contributing approximately $3,080 million of that total. The company operates as the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, with manufacturing facilities across key Asian markets, a Vietnam facility that delivered packages beginning Q3 2024, and an Arizona facility that began construction in the second half of 2025.

Amkor earns revenue from turnkey semiconductor packaging and test services sold to integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, OEMs, and contract foundries. Revenue divides between Advanced Products—flip chip, memory, wafer-level packages, and SiP modules—and Mainstream Products (wirebond, leadframe, and power device packaging), with the Advanced Products share growing from 77.4% in 2023 to 82.8% in 2025. Gross margin depends heavily on capacity utilization because of the high fixed-cost base; the company does not operate with material backlog, and customers are not contractually required to provide binding purchase forecasts. Key commodity inputs—gold, silver, copper, leadframes, and laminate substrates—are sourced from a limited group of suppliers without long-term pricing agreements, leaving the company exposed if vendors raise prices or face disruptions. The automotive end market represents a significant portion of sales; that industry is cyclical and sensitive to general economic conditions, inflationary pressure, and end-market preference shifts. Amkor competes against Asia-based packaging peers and against foundries expanding into integrated packaging services.

Show full overview

Amkor's critical materials—leadframes, laminate substrates, and gold wire—are sourced from a limited group of suppliers on a purchase order basis without long-term supply agreements. The 10-K discloses that fire, severe weather, earthquakes, flooding, and tsunamis have in the past disrupted specialty chemicals, substrates, silicon wafers, and other electronics-industry inputs. Equipment is likewise acquired without long-term vendor contracts, meaning supply constraints or price spikes in tight markets could delay capacity expansion and prevent the company from fulfilling customer orders—a risk amplified by the high fixed-cost structure that requires consistently high utilization to preserve gross margins.

See also: Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

From Amkor Technology, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 8, 2027102d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 32%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$10.5B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE13.6%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta2.22
Dividend0.84%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$32-25.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAdvanced Products83%
    10-K Item 1: 'Advanced Products| $| 5,556 | | | 82.8 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive industry customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales is to customers within the automotive industry'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited group of suppliers for critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source most of our materials, including critical materials such as leadframes, laminate substrates and gold wire, from a limited group of suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 102d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
32 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.37Resistance $56.56

Price Targets

$39
$57
A.Upside+36.0%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts19
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target$66

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-08 (102d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $42.21: Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $39.26. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMKR stock price target?

Analyst target: $57.42 (+36.0% upside). Prior stop was $39.26. Stop-loss: $39.26.

What are the risks of investing in AMKR?

Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is AMKR overvalued or undervalued?

Amkor Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMKR?

19 analysts cover AMKR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Amkor Technology, Inc. do?Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider,...

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, offering packaging, wafer-level, and SiP solutions for smartphones, data centers, AI, and automotive markets. In 2025, Amkor generated $6,708 million in net sales, with Advanced Products at 82.8% of revenue. Manufacturing spans Asia, Europe, and a new Arizona facility under construction since H2 2025.

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