Skip to main content
AIZAssurant, Inc.Hold6.0·$260.99+0.96%
Open full analysis

Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $260.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 81% exposure to North America (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (80.7%).

Assurant provides device protection, vehicle service contracts, and lender-placed homeowners insurance through two segments: Global Lifestyle (~$9.6 billion in 2025 net earned premiums/fees) and Global Housing (~$2.8 billion). Revenue flows via B2B2C partnerships with mobile... Read more

$260.99-2.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#10 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield15.85%
IncomeYield1.36%(5y avg 1.67%)Payout17.22%sustainable
Stop $250.59Target $255.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$280.50+7.5%6 analysts
$255.88our TP
$260.99price
$280.50mean
$256
$290

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $260.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 81% exposure to North America (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (80.7%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Assurant, Inc.

About Assurant, Inc.

Global Lifestyle generated $9.6 billion in net earned premiums and fees in 2025—led by Connected Living's $5.4 billion and Global Automotive's $4.2 billion—while Global Housing contributed $2.8 billion across lender-placed homeowners and renters insurance. Assurant's total assets reached $36.3 billion at December 31, 2025, with 80.7% of Global Lifestyle revenue originating from North America. Both segments distribute exclusively through B2B2C partnerships rather than selling directly to end consumers.

Connected Living earns premiums and fees from mobile device protection programs distributed through carriers, OEMs, cable MSOs, and retailers, with mobile solutions accounting for 53% of Connected Living revenue in 2025. Global Automotive sells vehicle service contracts and ancillary products through auto dealers and agents across the U.S. and select international markets. Global Housing's lender-placed insurance business earns premiums when mortgage servicers place coverage on uninsured properties, a volume that benefits from hardening voluntary homeowners markets. Assurant cedes a portion of its insurance risk through reinsurance and profit-sharing arrangements with clients. The company returned $468.3 million to shareholders through repurchases and dividends in 2025, funded in part by $925.1 million in subsidiary dividends. Many Global Lifestyle agreements are exclusive and multi-year, typically three to five years, with technology integration creating embedded retention incentives.

Show full overview

The 10-K explicitly states that Global Lifestyle is "dependent on a few clients, in particular those in the mobile eco-system including carriers and MSOs," and that both Global Lifestyle and Global Housing "receive a substantial portion" of revenues from a few clients. If one or more mobile carrier relationships were lost or renewed on less favorable terms—a risk the filing says has occurred from time to time—segment cash flows could be materially affected. This client concentration sits alongside reinsurance counterparty credit risk: the 10-K notes that through reinsurance Assurant has sold or exited businesses that could become its direct financial and administrative responsibility if reinsurers become insolvent.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

From Assurant, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Single-region cliff: 81% exposure to North America (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (80.7%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta0.57
Dividend1.36%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfew significant clients (Global Lifestyle and Housing)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Each of our Global Lifestyle and Global Housing segments receives a substantial portion of its revenues from a few clients'
  • MEDIUMCustomermobile eco-system clients (carriers and MSOs)
    10-K Item 1: 'Global Lifestyle is dependent on a few clients, in particular those in the mobile eco-system including carriers and MSOs'
  • HIGHGeographicNorth America81%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 80.7% of its revenue from North America (the U.S. and Canada)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    At May 21, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders approved amendment to Assurant ALTEIP increasing share reserve by 480,000 shares of common stock. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.3
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $244.71Resistance $261.10

Price Targets

$251
$256
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIZ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $260.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 81% exposure to North America (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (80.7%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $255.88 (-2.0%), stop $250.59 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $255.88 (-2.0% upside). Target $255.88 (-2.0%), stop $250.59 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $250.59.

What are the risks of investing in AIZ?

Single-region cliff: 81% exposure to North America (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (80.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AIZ overvalued or undervalued?

Assurant, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AIZ?

13 analysts cover AIZ with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $281.

What does Assurant, Inc. do?Assurant provides device protection, vehicle service contracts, and lender-placed homeowners insurance through two...

Assurant provides device protection, vehicle service contracts, and lender-placed homeowners insurance through two segments: Global Lifestyle (~$9.6 billion in 2025 net earned premiums/fees) and Global Housing (~$2.8 billion). Revenue flows via B2B2C partnerships with mobile carriers, auto dealers, and mortgage servicers. Technology integrations with clients create switching costs that support multi-year exclusive agreements.

Related stocks: SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.) · PLMR (Palomar Holdings, Inc.) · ORI (Old Republic International Corp) · STC (Stewart Information Services Co) · MCY (Mercury General Corporation)
Home Stocks AIZ

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com19d ago
Yahoo Finance19d ago
MarketBeat48d agoEarnings
GuruFocus20d agoAnalyst
AD HOC NEWS47d ago
The Globe and Mail18d agoMerger Acquisition
AD HOC NEWS18d ago
GuruFocus19d ago
Business Wire25d ago
MSN43d ago
Yahoo Finance16d ago
MSN44d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat42d ago
StockStory43d agoEarnings
TradingView43d agoEarnings
TradingView17d ago
AD HOC NEWS18d ago
Yahoo Finance24d ago
MSN45d ago
Newser46d ago
Loading more...