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AIGAmerican International Group, IHold5.7·$75.32+0.51%
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American International Group, I (AIG) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Negative momentum.

AIG provides commercial and personal insurance through three segments—North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal—in over 200 countries and jurisdictions, employing approximately 22,100 people across roughly 45 countries at December 31, 2025. Revenue... Read more

$75.32+4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield23.95%
IncomeYield2.67%(5y avg 2.17%)Payout31.69%sustainable
Stop $71.98Target $79.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$87.80+16.6%20 analysts
$79.02our TP
$75.32price
$87.80mean
$101

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About American International Group, I

About American International Group, I

AIG generates revenue from insurance premiums and investment income across three underwriting segments—North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal—serving clients in over 200 countries and jurisdictions. The company reported approximately $41 billion in shareholders' equity and $9.3 billion in AIG Parent liquidity sources at December 31, 2025, employed approximately 22,100 people across roughly 45 countries, and operates under the New York State Department of Financial Services as lead U.S.-state regulator.

North America Commercial and International Commercial underwrite commercial property, casualty, financial lines—including directors and officers, cyber risk, employment practices, and fiduciary liability—and global specialty products spanning marine, aviation, and political risk. The Global Personal segment covers accident and health, personal auto and homeowners in selected markets, and high net worth clients through Private Client Select. AIG's investment portfolio is managed primarily by external third-party investment managers; the 10-K flags that historical manager performance should not be considered indicative of future portfolio results, and that reliance on these arrangements for the majority of the portfolio constitutes a material counterparty dependency. Reinsurance purchases provide per-occurrence risk mitigation, but the company retains credit exposure to reinsurers, and private-sector terrorism reinsurance remains limited—the company supplements it via the U.S. government's TRIPRA program, which extends through December 31, 2027.

Show full overview

The New York State Department of Financial Services chairs AIG's global Supervisory College and reviews annual enterprise risk reports under the Insurance Holding Company System Regulatory Act. New York State formally adopted the Group Capital Calculation requirement in August 2023, making AIG subject to annual GCC filings beginning in 2024—a group-level capital adequacy test that added an analytical layer beyond prior NAIC Risk-Based Capital thresholds alone. On the international side, EU operations are supervised through Solvency II via the Commissariat aux Assurances in Luxembourg, and UK operations are subject to the Prudential Regulation Authority, creating a multi-regulator compliance matrix across major jurisdictions.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

From American International Group, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.9%
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA (14d, -2.6%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$39.7B
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta0.54
Dividend2.67%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatoryNYDFS
    10-K Item 1: 'The New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) is AIG's lead U.S.-state regulator, and leads AIG's Supervisory College meetings'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartythird-party investment managers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on investment management and advisory arrangements with third-party investment managers for the majority of our investment portfolio'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 5.02LOW
    Thomas D. Stoddard appointed independent director effective June 1, 2026, joining the Audit Committee. Board determined he meets NYSE independence standards. No compensation arrangement changes beyond standard director program. No disagreement with Company operations cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Eric Andersen appointed President and CEO effective June 1, 2026; Peter Zaffino transitions to Executive Chair. Andersen joined as President and CEO Elect in February 2026, previously President of Aon plc (2020-2025). Planned succession with named successor in place.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    James Dunne III notified the Board on March 10, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting (May 13, 2026). No disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices cited. Will remain on Board until Annual Meeting.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.2
Macd
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.15Resistance $78.92

Price Targets

$72
$79
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $79.02 (+4.9%), stop $71.98 (−4.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.02 (+4.9% upside). Target $79.02 (+4.9%), stop $71.98 (−4.6%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $71.98.

What are the risks of investing in AIG?

Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (14d, -2.6%).

Is AIG overvalued or undervalued?

American International Group, I trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AIG?

27 analysts cover AIG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $88.

What does American International Group, I do?AIG provides commercial and personal insurance through three segments—North America Commercial, International...

AIG provides commercial and personal insurance through three segments—North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal—in over 200 countries and jurisdictions, employing approximately 22,100 people across roughly 45 countries at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes primarily from insurance premiums and investment income, with approximately $41 billion in shareholders' equity at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: HIG (The Hartford Insurance Group, I) · ACGL (Arch Capital Group Ltd.) · AEG (Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh) · SLF (Sun Life Financial Inc.) · BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd)
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