Skip to main content

American International Group, I (AIG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

American International Group provides commercial and personal insurance across more than 200 countries through North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal segments. With approximately $41 billion in shareholders' equity, revenue comes from property,... Read more

$78.53-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
Stop $75.05Target $78.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$86.45+10.1%20 analysts
$78.17our TP
$78.53price
$86.45mean
$101

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$40.0B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn11.9%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta
Dividend2.41%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV41%normal
Max Pain$64-18.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    James Dunne III notified AIG Board on March 10, 2026 of his decision not to stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders (scheduled May 13, 2026). Will remain on Board until that date. No disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
3.9
Growth Rank
6.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.7
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.1
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.98Resistance $79.77

Price Targets

$75
$78
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.53 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $75.05. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.17 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $75.05. Stop-loss: $75.05.

What are the risks of investing in AIG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AIG overvalued or undervalued?

American International Group, I trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AIG?

26 analysts cover AIG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $86.

What does American International Group, I do?American International Group provides commercial and personal insurance across more than 200 countries through North...

American International Group provides commercial and personal insurance across more than 200 countries through North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal segments. With approximately $41 billion in shareholders' equity, revenue comes from property, casualty, financial lines, and specialty insurance premiums.

Related stocks: HIG (The Hartford Insurance Group, I) · ACGL (Arch Capital Group Ltd.) · SLF (Sun Life Financial Inc.) · AEG (Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh) · BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd)