Alamos Gold combines high-quality operating characteristics — 51% margins, a wide moat, and 79% revenue growth — with an attractively valued setup at 11x forward earnings and a roughly 4.4-to-1 risk/reward, though free cash flow converting to only 14% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.8 remain key risks to watch.
Thesis pillars
- Pullback In Rising Uptrend↓Deteriorating
- Elite Margins Wide Moat→Stable
- Attractive Valuation Upside→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Gold
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $30.42 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $30.42 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Alamos Gold Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - WKYC — WKYC positive
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com — kare11.com neutral
- NEWS A Look at Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) After 3.1% Decline -- GF Value $36.52 vs Price $28.79 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) Announces Earnings Results, Hits Estimates - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-07-30T23:08:42Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $30.42 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $40.38 (+44.3%), stop $28.17 (−-0.7%), A.R:R 5.5:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.38 (+44.4% upside). Target $40.38 (+44.3%), stop $28.17 (−-0.7%), A.R:R 5.5:1. Stop-loss: $28.17.
Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Alamos Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
15 analysts cover AGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $48.
What does Alamos Gold Inc. do?Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company...
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.