Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
ADP provides cloud-based human capital management software and outsourcing services to over 1.1 million clients in 140+ countries, paying over 42 million workers globally via Employer Services and PEO segments. Revenue comes from subscription and service contracts; ADP moved... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $230.82 (+7.7%), stop $204.12 (−5.0%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $230.82 (+7.6% upside). Target $230.82 (+7.7%), stop $204.12 (−5.0%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $204.12.
Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
23 analysts cover ADP with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $256.
What does Automatic Data Processing, Inc. do?ADP provides cloud-based human capital management software and outsourcing services to over 1.1 million clients in 140+...
ADP provides cloud-based human capital management software and outsourcing services to over 1.1 million clients in 140+ countries, paying over 42 million workers globally via Employer Services and PEO segments. Revenue comes from subscription and service contracts; ADP moved more than $3.3 trillion in client funds and processed 78M+ employee year-end tax statements in FY2025.