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YORWThe York Water CompanyHold5.7·$30.00-1.67%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

York Water's consistent earnings beats and best-in-class margins are offset by an overbought technical setup, a failed asymmetry gate at an already-reached price target, and a cash-conversion red flag on free cash flow.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ConsistencyStable
  • Overbought Late Cycle DistributionStable
  • Negative Asymmetry Target ReachedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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The York Water Company (YORW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA.

The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or exceed safe drinking water standards and distribute water. The Company also owns and operates three wastewater collection systems and twelve wastewater... Read more

$30.00+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-5.85%
IncomeYield2.96%(5y avg 2.18%)Payout60.84%
Stop $28.74Target $30.99(resistance)A.R:R -3.0:1
Analyst target$30.00+0.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$495M
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn26.8%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.62
Dividend2.96%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV118%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On April 10, 2026, Ashley M. Grimm, Esq. resigned her position as Vice President of Human Resources and Secretary effective May 14, 2026. Ms. Grimm's resignation was not the result of any disagreement relating to the Company's policies, operations, or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -3.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.15Resistance $31.62

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YORW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.99 (+3.3%), stop $28.74 (−4.4%), A.R:R -3.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YORW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.99 (+3.3% upside). Target $30.99 (+3.3%), stop $28.74 (−4.4%), A.R:R -3.0:1. Stop-loss: $28.74.

What are the risks of investing in YORW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-day MA.

Is YORW overvalued or undervalued?

The York Water Company trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about YORW?

6 analysts cover YORW with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does The York Water Company do?The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or...

The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or exceed safe drinking water standards and distribute water. The Company also owns and operates three wastewater collection systems and twelve wastewater collection and treatment systems. The Company operates within its franchised water and wastewater territory, which covers portions of 58 municipalities within four counties in south-central Pennsylv

Related stocks: AWR (American States Water Company) · MSEX (Middlesex Water Company) · CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) · HTO (H2O America) · CWT (California Water Service Group)
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