American States Water Company (AWR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water
Sell if holding. At $80.40, A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC.
American States Water Company operates water utility GSWC (265,142 customers in 11 California counties), electric utility BVES (24,915 customers in San Bernardino County mountain communities), and contracted services ASUS (water/wastewater at 10+ U.S. military installations).... Read more
Sell if holding. At $80.40, A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-10Recent Developments — American States Water Company
Latest news
- NEWS AWR (States Water) delivers narrow Q4 2025 earnings beat, shares fall 2 percent on tepid investor sentiment. - Trending — Newser positive
- NEWS American States Water (NYSE:AWR) Raised to Strong-Buy at Zacks Research - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS American States Water (AWR) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Pictet Asset Management Holding SA Has $53.50 Million Stock Position in American States Water Company $AWR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS American States Water: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1A: 'Our water and electric utility services are provided in California...our financial results are largely subject to political, water supply, labor, utility cost and regulatory risks...and other risks affecting California businesses.'
- HIGHregulatoryCPUC10-K Item 1A: 'GSWC's and BVES's revenues depend substantially on the rates and charges we are permitted to recover from our customers and the timing of that recovery as authorized by the CPUC.'
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government (ASUS contracted services)10-K Item 1: 'the U.S. government is the primary customer for ASUS's contracted services.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWBoard approved 2026 base salaries for CEO Sprowls, CFO Tang, and other executive officers. Compensatory arrangement only; no officer departures or appointments.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOWBoard approved time-vested RSU awards and performance awards to CEO Sprowls, CFO Tang, and other named executive officers. Compensatory arrangement only.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOWCompensation Committee approved 2026 Short-Term Incentive Program (cash bonus) for executive officers. Compensatory arrangement only.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $80.40, A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $77.32. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $78.89 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $77.32. Stop-loss: $77.32.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
American States Water Company trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover AWR with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $76.
What does American States Water Company do?American States Water Company operates water utility GSWC (265,142 customers in 11 California counties), electric...
American States Water Company operates water utility GSWC (265,142 customers in 11 California counties), electric utility BVES (24,915 customers in San Bernardino County mountain communities), and contracted services ASUS (water/wastewater at 10+ U.S. military installations). All utility operations are in California and regulated by the CPUC; ASUS operates under firm-fixed-price contracts with the U.S. government as its primary customer.