Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.
Turning Point Brands manufactures and distributes branded tobacco and alternative smoking products under Zig-Zag (rolling papers, MYO cigar wraps) and Stoker's (moist snuff, chewing tobacco) through ~220,000 North American retail outlets. Tobacco products comprised ~62% of 2025... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Turning Point Brands, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Turning Point Brands (TPB) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Capelight Capital Asset Management LP Invests $1.95 Million in Turning Point Brands, Inc. $TPB - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS TPB greenlights duty relief to defence imports - Business Recorder — Business Recorder positive
- NEWS Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB): A Top Sin Stock to Buy On Growing Nicotine Pouch Opportunity - Insider Monkey — Insider Monkey positive
- NEWS Turning Point Brands Inc. (TPB): A Top Sin Stock to Buy On Growing Nicotine Pouch Opportunity - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $113.10 (+37.5%), stop $76.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $113.10 (+37.3% upside). Target $113.10 (+37.5%), stop $76.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Stop-loss: $76.78.
Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Turning Point Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.
9 analysts cover TPB with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.
What does Turning Point Brands, Inc. do?Turning Point Brands manufactures and distributes branded tobacco and alternative smoking products under Zig-Zag...
Turning Point Brands manufactures and distributes branded tobacco and alternative smoking products under Zig-Zag (rolling papers, MYO cigar wraps) and Stoker's (moist snuff, chewing tobacco) through ~220,000 North American retail outlets. Tobacco products comprised ~62% of 2025 net sales; ~75% of net sales came from outsourced production. All loose-leaf chewing tobacco is manufactured by Swedish Match and all Zig-Zag cigarette papers are sourced from RTI.