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STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.Hold5.8·$273.99-3.10%
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Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $273.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a leading industrial metals solutions company, with facilities located throughout the United States and Mexico. The company operates a circular manufacturing model, producing high-quality, lower-carbon-emission products with recycled scrap as the primary... Read more

$273.99+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 10 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.08%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 1.40%)Payout21.76%sustainable
Stop $254.59Target $282.97(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$268.82-1.9%11 analysts
$282.97our TP
$273.99price
$268.82mean
$221
$310

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $273.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.89)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.3
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$40.8B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE15.2%
Rev Growth19.1%
Beta1.52
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV64%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    [99.1](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1022671/000110465926035891/tm2610089d1_ex99-1.htm) | [A press release dated March 2 [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $219.03Resistance $288.74

Price Targets

$255
$283
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STLD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $273.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $282.97 (+3.3%), stop $254.59 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STLD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $282.97 (+3.4% upside). Target $282.97 (+3.3%), stop $254.59 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $254.59.

What are the risks of investing in STLD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is STLD overvalued or undervalued?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STLD?

21 analysts cover STLD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $269.

What does Steel Dynamics, Inc. do?Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a leading industrial metals solutions company, with facilities located throughout the United...

Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a leading industrial metals solutions company, with facilities located throughout the United States and Mexico. The company operates a circular manufacturing model, producing high-quality, lower-carbon-emission products with recycled scrap as the primary input.

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