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SCCOSouthern Copper CorporationBuy Wait6.3·$193.83+2.13%
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Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Wait for pullback to $170.24. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $193.83. Engine's entry $170.24 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico.

Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with all mining, smelting, and refining operations in Peru and Mexico, producing copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver. Revenues are primarily commodity-price-driven with copper generating approximately 75.9% of revenues over the... Read more

$193.83+17.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.69%
IncomeYield2.11%(5y avg 4.08%)Payout56.33%sustainable
Entry $170.24(support + ATR)Stop $160.27Target $199.13(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$164.54-15.1%16 analysts
$199.13our TP
$193.83price
$164.54mean
$126
$250

Wait for pullback to $170.24. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $193.83. Engine's entry $170.24 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-23.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.2
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$158.3B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE46.3%
Rev Growth36.2%
Beta1.11
Dividend2.11%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.49bearish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycopper76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Over the last three years, approximately 75.9% of our revenues were generated from the sale of copper; 10.9% from molybdenum; 5.7% from silver; and 3.6% from zinc.'
  • HIGHGeographicPeru and Mexico
    10-K Item 1: 'All of our mining, smelting and refining facilities are located in Peru and Mexico, and we conduct exploration activities in those countries and in Argentina and Chile.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO Oscar Gonzalez Rocha died unexpectedly on April 13, 2026 after a 50-year career. Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as interim CEO effective April 16, 2026. No permanent successor named at time of this filing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Board appointed Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada as permanent CEO effective April 23, 2026, converting his interim role to permanent. Successor named; no compensation changes disclosed at filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.5
Bollinger
2.7
Gap
3.0
52w Position
7.4
Extreme gap up (5.4%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $165.23Resistance $203.19

Price Targets

$160
$170
$199
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-1.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.5% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $170.24. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $193.83. Engine's entry $170.24 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-23.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $199.13 (+2.7%), stop $160.27 (−20.9%), Setup A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $199.13 (+17.0% upside). Target $199.13 (+2.7%), stop $160.27 (−20.9%), Setup A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $160.27.

What are the risks of investing in SCCO?

Concentration risk — Commodity: copper (75.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Peru and Mexico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SCCO overvalued or undervalued?

Southern Copper Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SCCO?

17 analysts cover SCCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $165.

What does Southern Copper Corporation do?Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with all mining, smelting, and refining operations in Peru and Mexico,...

Southern Copper is an integrated copper producer with all mining, smelting, and refining operations in Peru and Mexico, producing copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver. Revenues are primarily commodity-price-driven with copper generating approximately 75.9% of revenues over the last three years; the company believes it has the largest copper reserves in the world.

Related stocks: FCX (Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC)
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