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RSReliance, Inc.Hold6.2·$394.21+0.46%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Reliance Inc. is a metals distributor with a low price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.53 and a strong Piotroski financial health score, but three consecutive earnings misses and a stock near overbought territory with falling on-balance volume signal deteriorating near-term earnings quality despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Low Peg Ratio ValuationStable
  • Overbought Distribution SignalDeteriorating
  • Earnings Miss Trend RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reliance, Inc. (RS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $394.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center company in North America (U.S. and Canada) based on revenues, with 2025 net sales of $14.29 billion.

$394.21-10.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.72%
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout28.47%sustainable
Stop $372.95Target $423.97(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$407.63+3.4%8 analysts
$423.97our TP
$394.21price
$407.63mean
$390
$425

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $394.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.9
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$20.1B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth26.5%
Beta0.95
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
6.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $379.86Resistance $432.62

Price Targets

$373
$424
A.Upside-10.0%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $394.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $423.97 (+7.5%), stop $372.95 (−5.7%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $423.97 (-10.0% upside). Target $423.97 (+7.5%), stop $372.95 (−5.7%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $372.95.

What are the risks of investing in RS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is RS overvalued or undervalued?

Reliance, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RS?

18 analysts cover RS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $408.

What does Reliance, Inc. do?Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center...

Reliance operates a network of companies providing diversified metal solutions and is the largest metals service center company in North America (U.S. and Canada) based on revenues, with 2025 net sales of $14.29 billion.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · NUE (Nucor Corporation) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · SIM (Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.) · PKX (POSCO Holdings Inc.)
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