Skip to main content
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plcSell5.3·$54.98+0.20%
Open full analysis

Royalty Pharma plc (RPRX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Royalty Pharma is the largest buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties, holding a portfolio of 35+ marketed therapies including Vertex's cystic fibrosis franchise, GSK's Trelegy, and Biogen's Tysabri. In 2025, it generated $3.3B in Portfolio Receipts and deployed $2.6B to acquire... Read more

$54.98+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#74 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-3.10%
IncomeYield1.71%(5y avg 2.29%)Payout47.11%sustainable
Stop $52.28Target $55.37(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$59.25+7.8%8 analysts
$55.37our TP
$54.98price
$59.25mean
$46
$66

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.9
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$31.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.42
Dividend1.71%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$40-27.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductcystic fibrosis franchise
    10-K Item 1: 'Cystic fibrosis franchise(2)| Vertex| Rare disease| Cystic fibrosis| $917| $11,725'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.81Resistance $56.50

Price Targets

$52
$55
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPRX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $54.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $52.28. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.37 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $52.28. Stop-loss: $52.28.

What are the risks of investing in RPRX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Negative momentum.

Is RPRX overvalued or undervalued?

Royalty Pharma plc trades at a P/E of 28.9 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RPRX?

16 analysts cover RPRX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $59.

What does Royalty Pharma plc do?Royalty Pharma is the largest buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties, holding a portfolio of 35+ marketed therapies...

Royalty Pharma is the largest buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties, holding a portfolio of 35+ marketed therapies including Vertex's cystic fibrosis franchise, GSK's Trelegy, and Biogen's Tysabri. In 2025, it generated $3.3B in Portfolio Receipts and deployed $2.6B to acquire new royalties. Revenue is royalty payments tied to the top-line sales of funded therapies.

Related stocks: INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ARGX (argenx SE) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · KRYS (Krystal Biotech, Inc.) · ONC (BeOne Medicines Ltd.)
Home Stocks RPRX

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance47d agoEarnings
MarketBeat48d ago
MarketBeat41d ago
TradingView42d agoEarnings
MarketBeat46d ago
Stock Titan46d ago
MarketBeat44d ago
MarketBeat45d ago
Benzinga39d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga41d agoEarnings
Benzinga66d agoAnalyst