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ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait6.6·$295.51-2.14%
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $292.53. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $295.51. Engine's entry $292.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Alnylam is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with six approved RNAi medicines, generating $2.99B in net product revenues in 2025. AMVUTTRA (vutrisiran) is the dominant revenue driver following its cardiomyopathy approval in March 2025; the company also earns... Read more

$295.51+38.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#6 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.51%
Entry $292.53(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $274.14Target $401.23(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.7:1Setup A.R:R 8.6:1
Analyst target$445.81+50.9%27 analysts
$401.23our TP
$295.51price
$445.81mean
$566

Wait for pullback to $292.53. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $295.51. Engine's entry $292.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.52, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-01
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)75.7
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$40.3B
EV/EBITDA49.9
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE90.4%
Rev Growth96.4%
Beta0.30
DividendNone
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$700+136.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.9
Support Resistance
4.8
Bollinger
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $284.28Resistance $306.03

Price Targets

$274
$293
$401
A.Upside+35.8%
A.R:R5.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)8.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.2%
Max %2.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $292.53. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $295.51. Engine's entry $292.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.52, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $401.23 (+35.8%), stop $274.14 (−7.8%), Setup A.R:R 8.6:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $401.23 (+38.9% upside). Target $401.23 (+35.8%), stop $274.14 (−7.8%), Setup A.R:R 8.6:1. Stop-loss: $274.14.

What are the risks of investing in ALNY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ALNY overvalued or undervalued?

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 75.7 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ALNY?

36 analysts cover ALNY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $446.

What does Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Alnylam is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with six approved RNAi medicines, generating $2.99B in...

Alnylam is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with six approved RNAi medicines, generating $2.99B in net product revenues in 2025. AMVUTTRA (vutrisiran) is the dominant revenue driver following its cardiomyopathy approval in March 2025; the company also earns collaboration royalties from Novartis (Leqvio) and Sanofi (Qfitlia).

Related stocks: ARGX (argenx SE) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ONC (BeOne Medicines Ltd.) · TGTX (TG Therapeutics, Inc.) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.)
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