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ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait6.9·$232.40
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Alnylam combines an unusually strong quality profile — wide economic moat, Rule of 40 score of 101, 96% year-over-year revenue growth, and a Piotroski financial health score of 8 out of 9 — with a forward earnings multiple that remains undemanding for growth of this caliber at a PEG of 0.49; the principal near-term obstacle is a confirmed technical downtrend that, until resolved, limits the initial position size for all but the most patient investors.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Elite Growth Quality→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Blocks Entry↑Improving
  • Leverage Adds Downside Cushion Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $219.42. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $232.40. Engine's entry $219.42 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics; its six approved products include AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO (sold directly) plus Leqvio and Qfitlia (commercialized by Novartis and Sanofi). The company recognized $2.99... Read more

$232.40+42.4% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#7 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.87%
Entry $219.42(support + ATR (held))Stop $209.00Target $331.00(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst consensus$367.78+58.3%27 analysts
$331.00our TP
$232.40price
$367.78mean
$536

Wait for pullback to $219.42. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $232.40. Engine's entry $219.42 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals generated $2.99 billion in net product revenues in 2025 from four directly commercialized RNAi medicines — AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO — marking the company's first profitable fiscal year. AMVUTTRA received FDA approval for ATTR cardiomyopathy in March 2025, expanding its U.S. indication, with European Commission approval following in June 2025. Two additional products, Leqvio and Qfitlia, are commercialized by Novartis and Sanofi in markets now covering 108 countries for Leqvio.

Alnylam earns revenue from direct product sales through specialty distribution channels plus royalties and collaboration payments from Novartis (Leqvio), Sanofi (Qfitlia), Roche (zilebesiran), and Regeneron (cemdisiran). AMVUTTRA targets transthyretin protein synthesis via quarterly subcutaneous injection; coverage policies from Medicare, Medicaid, and private payors govern net realized pricing. The company relies on third-party contract manufacturers for commercial supply. The clinical pipeline adds potential upside: nucresiran entered Phase 3 trials TRITON-PN and TRITON-CM in 2025; zilebesiran entered the ZENITH Phase 3 cardiovascular outcomes trial in September 2025 alongside Roche; mivelsiran reported Phase 1 data in early-onset Alzheimer's disease in July 2025. Regeneron plans a U.S. regulatory submission for cemdisiran in generalized myasthenia gravis in the first quarter of 2026.

Show full overview

Pricing pressure from the Inflation Reduction Act could weigh on future AMVUTTRA revenues as the U.S. government expands its list of drugs subject to Medicare price negotiation. The 10-K explicitly identifies 'most-favored nation pricing measures, measures requiring the U.S. government in the future to negotiate the prices of certain drugs' as risks affecting AMVUTTRA commercialization. ATTR cardiomyopathy is a prevalent adult condition with a large Medicare patient population, and Alnylam's stated dependence on AMVUTTRA as a 'significant portion' of net product revenues places a defined ceiling risk on the TTR franchise's long-term net pricing.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.2
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$31.1B
EV/EBITDA29.2
Profit Mgn16.1%
ROE96.6%
Rev Growth66.9%
Beta0.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$175-24.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductAMVUTTRA
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our net product revenues was derived from the sale of our TTR products, and in particular AMVUTTRA'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02LOW
    Benjamin F. Cravatt, Ph.D. elected to the Board as Class III director effective June 1, 2026, filling a newly created vacancy; term expires at 2028 annual meeting. Annual cash retainer $75,000 plus stock options. Routine board expansion; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
2.0
Support Resistance
5.3
Gap
6.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $215.46Resistance $251.71

Price Targets

$209
$219
$331
A.Upside+42.4%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $219.42. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $232.40. Engine's entry $219.42 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $331.00 (+42.4%), stop $209.00 (−11.2%), A.R:R 5.8:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $331.00 (+42.4% upside). Target $331.00 (+42.4%), stop $209.00 (−11.2%), A.R:R 5.8:1. Stop-loss: $209.00.

What are the risks of investing in ALNY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ALNY overvalued or undervalued?

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.2 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ALNY?

38 analysts cover ALNY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $368.

What does Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics; its six approved products...

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals develops and commercializes RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics; its six approved products include AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO (sold directly) plus Leqvio and Qfitlia (commercialized by Novartis and Sanofi). The company recognized $2.99 billion in net product revenues in 2025, its first profitable fiscal year, with AMVUTTRA as the dominant revenue driver following its FDA approval for ATTR cardiomyopathy in March 2025.

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