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RNWReNew Energy Global plcSell5.7·$6.81-0.15%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ReNew Energy Global is a renewable energy developer with a PEG ratio of 0.05 and a strong 3-of-4 earnings beat history, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.4 and deeply negative free cash flow create value-trap risks in a rising-rate environment where high-leverage utilities face the greatest pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • High Leverage Value Trap RiskDeteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Streak Analyst UpsideDeteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Peg Renewable GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ReNew Energy Global plc (RNW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5.

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through two segments, Generation and Sale of Renewable Power, and Manufacturing of Power Equipment's. The... Read more

$6.81-1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 11 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-2854.46%
Stop $6.55Target $7.83(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$7.92+16.3%4 analysts
$7.83our TP
$6.81price
$7.92mean
$9

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.3), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.0
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C201.00bearish
IV180%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
2.4
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.95Resistance $6.85

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.55. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.83 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $6.55. Stop-loss: $6.55.

What are the risks of investing in RNW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.3): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.3), Negative free cash flow.

Is RNW overvalued or undervalued?

ReNew Energy Global plc trades at a P/E of 22.0 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RNW?

9 analysts cover RNW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $8.

What does ReNew Energy Global plc do?ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional...

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through two segments, Generation and Sale of Renewable Power, and Manufacturing of Power Equipment's. The company develops and owns utility scale wind and solar energy projects, corporate wind and solar energy projects, and utility-scale firm power projects. It also provides operation and maintenance services; consultancy services; solar modules and related products manufacturing activity; sale of power, and software services; transmission line projects; and engineering, procurement, and construction services. As of May 18, 2026, the company operates 20.2 giga watts total capacity of clean energy portfolio. ReNew Energy Global Plc was founded in 2011 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · NRGV (Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.) · FRVO (Fervo Energy Company) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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