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RDVTRed Violet, Inc.Hold5.7·$66.17-1.59%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Red Violet's strong earnings-beat streak supports its growth story, but the stock's rich valuation, high leverage, notable insider selling, and an already-negative asymmetry reading suggest the near-term risk/reward has turned unfavorable after running past its analyst target.

Thesis pillars

  • Rich Valuation RiskStable
  • Leverage Penalty RiskStable
  • Notable Insider SellingStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Red Violet operates CORE, a cloud-native, AI-enabled identity intelligence platform marketed through its IDI and FOREWARN brands, serving 10,022 billable IDI customers and 390,018 FOREWARN users as of December 31, 2025. The company generated $90.3 million in revenue and $13.2... Read more

$66.17+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#89 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.29%
Stop $61.54Target $68.20(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$63.50-4.0%2 analysts
$68.20our TP
$66.17price
$63.50mean
$62
$68

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Red Violet, Inc.

About Red Violet, Inc.

Red Violet's CORE identity-intelligence platform served 10,022 billable IDI customers and 390,018 FOREWARN users as of December 31, 2025, up from 8,926 and 303,418 a year earlier. The company generated $90.3 million in revenue and $13.2 million in net income in 2025, up from $75.2 million and $7.0 million in 2024, with 76% of revenue coming from customers on recurring pricing contracts and 24% from transactional usage.

Red Violet licenses identity-intelligence solutions through two brands: IDI, whose flagship idiCORE product serves financial services, insurance, healthcare, law enforcement, collections, and corporate-security customers, and FOREWARN, an app-based tool for real estate professionals to vet contacts before in-person meetings. Revenue comes almost entirely from licensing fees billed transactionally, via monthly fee, or a combination of both, under pricing contracts that are generally annual or longer with auto-renewal, sold through inside sales, a strategic sales team for major accounts, and third-party distributors and resellers. The company's data comes from public record, proprietary, and publicly available sources, but no individual customer accounted for more than 10% of total revenue in 2025 or 2024 — a diversified customer base that stands in contrast to Red Violet's data supply chain, where a single named data supplier, most recently extended through April 2031, dominates data acquisition spending.

Show full overview

Red Violet's customer base is diversified, but its data supply chain is not: the company's largest data supplier, one of the major credit bureaus, accounted for approximately 45% of total data acquisition costs in both 2025 and 2024. Red Violet extended that agreement in May 2025 through April 2031, locking in $23.2 million of remaining payment obligations, but the contract still lets the supplier terminate with 12 months' notice versus the 24 months Red Violet itself must give — an asymmetry that leaves the company's core data pipeline more exposed to a single counterparty's decision than its revenue concentration would suggest.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Red Violet, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)70.8
P/E (Fwd)42.3
Mkt Cap$969M
EV/EBITDA59.4
Profit Mgn15.0%
ROE14.4%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierlargest data supplier45%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest data supplier...accounted for approximately 45% of our total data acquisition costs both for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-05Item 5.07LOW
    At the June 3, 2026 Annual Meeting, all five director nominees were elected (though Steven Rubin received more "withhold" votes, 5,343,299, than "for" votes, 4,346,340) and Grant Thornton LLP was ratified as independent auditor for 2026. Routine annual-meeting matter.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
1.5
Forward Pe
2.7
Ps
3.2
Peg Ratio
4.8
Forward P/E: 42.3xPEG: 1.69
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.27%=MODERATEMomentum 7.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.09Resistance $69.59

Price Targets

$62
$68
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RDVT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $68.20 (+3.1%), stop $61.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RDVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $68.20 (+3.1% upside). Target $68.20 (+3.1%), stop $61.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $61.54.

What are the risks of investing in RDVT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Expensive valuation.

Is RDVT overvalued or undervalued?

Red Violet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 70.8 (forward 42.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RDVT?

8 analysts cover RDVT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Red Violet, Inc. do?Red Violet operates CORE, a cloud-native, AI-enabled identity intelligence platform marketed through its IDI and...

Red Violet operates CORE, a cloud-native, AI-enabled identity intelligence platform marketed through its IDI and FOREWARN brands, serving 10,022 billable IDI customers and 390,018 FOREWARN users as of December 31, 2025. The company generated $90.3 million in revenue and $13.2 million in net income for 2025, with its largest data supplier accounting for approximately 45% of total data acquisition costs.

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