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RBBRBB BancorpBuy Wait6.7·$26.21-1.43%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RBB Bancorp combines a growth-adjusted bargain valuation and a strong earnings-beat streak with a near-term catalyst, but the stock has already run past its analyst target, turning the risk/reward unfavorable and coinciding with recent insider selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Operating QualityStable
  • Growth Adjusted Cheap ValuationStable
  • Near Term Earnings CatalystStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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RBB Bancorp (RBB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $24.90. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.21. Engine's entry $24.90 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

RBB Bancorp is the holding company for Royal Business Bank, an Asian-centric community bank operating 24 offices across California, Nevada, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, and Hawaii, with $4.2 billion in total assets, $3.3 billion in gross loans, and $3.4 billion in deposits as... Read more

$26.21+11.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#13 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.36%(5y avg 3.16%)Payout27.12%sustainable
Entry $24.90(5% below current)Stop $23.41Target $27.64(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$27.20+3.8%5 analysts
$27.64our TP
$26.21price
$27.20mean
$29

Wait for pullback to $24.90. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.21. Engine's entry $24.90 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RBB Bancorp

About RBB Bancorp

RBB Bancorp, the holding company for Royal Business Bank, held $4.2 billion in total consolidated assets, $3.3 billion in gross loans, and $3.4 billion in deposits as of December 31, 2025, operating 24 banking offices across California, Nevada, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, and Hawaii predominantly serving Asian-centric business communities. Single-family residential mortgage loans made up 50.0% of the total loan portfolio, up from 48.9% a year earlier, with commercial real estate loans a further 39.3%.

RBB earns revenue primarily from interest on loans and, to a lesser extent, investment securities, supplemented by fee income from lending and deposit services, loan servicing, gains on loan sales, and wealth management. The bank grew through six whole-bank acquisitions between 2011 and 2018 plus a 2022 branch acquisition in Hawaii, and operates as a minority depository institution, a Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation designation requiring at least 51% ownership by minority individuals, which the bank says has been historically beneficial for technical assistance and program support. Beyond SFR and CRE lending, RBB originates construction and land development loans (4.7% of the portfolio), commercial and industrial loans (4.2%), and SBA 7(a) and 504 loans (1.7%) as a designated SBA Preferred Lender. Deposits remain concentrated in large relationships typical of a business-focused bank: 80.6% of relationships were $250,000 or below, or qualified as stable under the bank's own criteria, as of December 31, 2025.

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RBB's loan book is concentrated in two categories that together make up nearly 90% of total loans: single-family residential mortgages at 50.0% and commercial real estate at 39.3% as of December 31, 2025, with the multi-family residential subset of CRE growing to $745.3 million from $605.5 million a year earlier. That mix ties RBB's credit performance closely to California, New York, and Hawaii housing and commercial-property values rather than to a diversified small-business loan book, even as nonaccrual balances in both categories declined year over year — SFR nonaccruals fell to $2.1 million from $11.5 million, and CRE nonaccruals fell to $8.2 million from $17.1 million.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From RBB Bancorp's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$462M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.3%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth61.0%
Beta1.02
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$20-23.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.15%=MODERATEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.13Resistance $28.20

Price Targets

$23
$25
$28
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $24.90. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.21. Engine's entry $24.90 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $27.64 (+5.5%), stop $23.41 (−12.0%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.64 (+11.0% upside). Target $27.64 (+5.5%), stop $23.41 (−12.0%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $23.41.

What are the risks of investing in RBB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is RBB overvalued or undervalued?

RBB Bancorp trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RBB?

9 analysts cover RBB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $27.

What does RBB Bancorp do?RBB Bancorp is the holding company for Royal Business Bank, an Asian-centric community bank operating 24 offices across...

RBB Bancorp is the holding company for Royal Business Bank, an Asian-centric community bank operating 24 offices across California, Nevada, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, and Hawaii, with $4.2 billion in total assets, $3.3 billion in gross loans, and $3.4 billion in deposits as of December 31, 2025. Single-family residential mortgages made up 50.0% of the loan portfolio and commercial real estate loans 39.3%, with revenue driven primarily by interest income on loans.

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