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PARPAR Technology CorporationSell6.4·$17.06-6.78%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PAR Technology shows heavy insider buying conviction and a strong earnings beat streak, but the stock remains in a confirmed downtrend with quality below the engine's floor and heavy bearish options positioning.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Engine FloorStable
  • Heavy Insider Buying ConvictionStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Despite Overbought BounceStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.06: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

PAR Technology is a foodservice technology company providing omnichannel cloud-based point-of-sale software, customer engagement, payment processing, and hardware solutions to more than 150,000 restaurant and retail locations worldwide, including quick service, fast casual, and... Read more

$17.06+35.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#27 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.16%
Stop $15.87Target $23.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$26.50+55.3%8 analysts
$23.05our TP
$17.06price
$26.50mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.06: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About PAR Technology Corporation

About PAR Technology Corporation

PAR Technology's longest-standing customer, McDonald's Corporation, which it has served since 1980, accounted for 21% of the company's total revenue in 2025. PAR's omnichannel cloud-based point-of-sale, customer engagement, and payment technology serves more than 150,000 active restaurant and retail locations worldwide, spanning quick service, fast casual, and table service restaurants as well as convenience and fuel retailers, with international sales representing 16.9% of 2025 revenue, up from 8.5% in 2023.

PAR earns subscription revenue from its Engagement Cloud (Punchh loyalty, PAR Ordering, PAR Retail, Plexure) and Operator Cloud (PAR POS, PAR Pay, PAR OPS, TASK) product lines, supplemented by hardware sales of point-of-sale terminals, tablets, and drive-thru systems, and professional services including installation and repair. The company's SaaS platform integrates with more than 600 third-party partners through open APIs, and it sells through both an enterprise sales team targeting tier-one and tier-two restaurant brands and a channel-partner network of resellers, distributors, and integrators for small and medium-sized businesses. PAR increased research and development spending to $81.8 million in 2025 from $67.3 million in 2024, alongside sales and marketing spend of $48.9 million.

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PAR's own risk factors acknowledge that in some instances the company is dependent on single-source suppliers for its hardware products, exposing it to inadequate inventory, higher prices, and reduced control over delivery schedules; most hardware suppliers are located in South Korea, China, and Taiwan, regions the 10-K flags for tariff and geopolitical tension risk. That supply exposure sits alongside customer concentration: McDonald's Corporation alone represented 21% of 2025 revenue, a legacy relationship dating to 1980 whose loss or renegotiation on less favorable terms would have an outsized impact on PAR's results.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From PAR Technology Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers for hardware products
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$765M
EV/EBITDA-29.1
Profit Mgn-16.0%
ROE-9.1%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV95%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerMcDonald's Corporation21%
    10-K Item 1: 'McDonald's Corporation accounted for 21% of our total revenue in 2025.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers for hardware products
    10-K Item 1A: 'in some instances, we are dependent on single-source suppliers for our hardware products, which may subject us to other significant risks'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    PAR Technology's shareholders approved the Second Amended and Restated 2015 Equity Incentive Plan at the May 29, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing available shares by 2,000,000. The item covers only the compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure or appointment was involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Unprofitable operations — net margin -16.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
3.1
Gross Margin
4.7
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.3
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 0%, FCF yield 0.2%)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
3.4
Bollinger
3.6
Gap
6.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.02Resistance $19.16

Price Targets

$16
$23
A.Upside+35.1%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.06: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $15.87. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.05 (+35.1% upside). Prior stop was $15.87. Stop-loss: $15.87.

What are the risks of investing in PAR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers for hardware products; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is PAR overvalued or undervalued?

PAR Technology Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAR?

13 analysts cover PAR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does PAR Technology Corporation do?PAR Technology is a foodservice technology company providing omnichannel cloud-based point-of-sale software, customer...

PAR Technology is a foodservice technology company providing omnichannel cloud-based point-of-sale software, customer engagement, payment processing, and hardware solutions to more than 150,000 restaurant and retail locations worldwide, including quick service, fast casual, and table service restaurants as well as convenience and fuel retailers. The company has served McDonald's Corporation since 1980, Yum! Brands since 1983, and Dairy Queen since 2018, with McDonald's accounting for 21% of PAR's total revenue in 2025. PAR reported $81.8 million in research and development expense in 2025, up

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