O'Reilly Automotive is a high-quality auto parts retailer with a strong Piotroski score of 8/9 and 22% analyst upside, but a confirmed downtrend, thin 9.9% upside margin, elevated put-to-call ratio of 3.52, and a recent executive departure create a cautious near-term outlook.
Thesis pillars
- Piotroski Quality Moat→Stable
- Analyst Upside 22pct→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Risk↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $89.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $89.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-23Recent Developments — O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) Posts Earnings Results, Meets Expectations - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
Generated 2026-08-23T02:21:54Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOWShareholders re-elected 9 directors at the 2026 Annual Meeting on May 14, 2026. Greg Henslee (Executive Chairman) received a $2,000,000 stock option award vesting 25% per year over 4 years. No officer departures cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $89.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $84.83. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $97.02 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $84.83. Stop-loss: $84.83.
Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover ORLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $108.
What does O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. do?O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through...
O'Reilly Automotive retails automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, and accessories across North America through 6,447 U.S. stores, 112 in Mexico, and 26 in Canada at December 31, 2025. The dual market strategy serves both do-it-yourself consumers (~50% of 2025 sales) and professional service provider customers (~50%), supported by 32 distribution centers offering over 156,000 SKUs with same-day or overnight replenishment.