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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Buy Wait6.5·$374.47+1.53%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth EngineImproving
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Falling Knife Technical SetupImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Wait for pullback to $314.02. At $374.47 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $314.02 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 4.1%.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$374.47+4.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#15 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.08%
Entry $314.02(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $292.68Target $389.71(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$433.02+15.6%27 analysts
$389.71our TP
$374.47price
$433.02mean
$528

Wait for pullback to $314.02. At $374.47 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $314.02 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 4.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA
Thin upside margin: 4.1%
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.2
P/E (Fwd)36.4
Mkt Cap$42.4B
EV/EBITDA36.9
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C11.19bearish
IV38%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.51%=MODERATEMomentum 6.8>=5.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $309.94Resistance $379.48

Price Targets

$293
$314
$390
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $314.02. At $374.47 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $314.02 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 4.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Target $389.71 (+4.1%), stop $292.68 (−27.9%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $389.71 (+4.1% upside). Target $389.71 (+4.1%), stop $292.68 (−27.9%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $292.68.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 67.2 (forward 36.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ONC?

12 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $433.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

Related stocks: ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ALNY (Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ARGX (argenx SE) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.)
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