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NXTNextpower Inc.Sell4.7·$125.98+3.36%
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Nextpower Inc. (NXT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. At $125.98, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.6%.

Nextracker is a solar tracker platform provider and the global market leader by gigawatts shipped for nine consecutive years, serving utility-scale power plants in over 40 countries. It generates revenue by selling solar tracker systems and software to EPCs, developers, and... Read more

$125.98+7.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#5 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.68%
Stop $116.78Target $135.17(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$150.19+19.2%26 analysts
$135.17our TP
$125.98price
$150.19mean
$64
$182

Sell if holding. At $125.98, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.6%. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.7
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$18.5B
EV/EBITDA23.3
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE29.6%
Rev Growth-4.7%
Beta1.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$85-32.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -4.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.6
Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.79Resistance $163.13

Price Targets

$117
$135
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NXT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $125.98, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.6%. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $116.78. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the NXT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.17 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $116.78. Stop-loss: $116.78.

What are the risks of investing in NXT?

Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is NXT overvalued or undervalued?

Nextpower Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.7 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NXT?

32 analysts cover NXT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Nextpower Inc. do?Nextracker is a solar tracker platform provider and the global market leader by gigawatts shipped for nine consecutive...

Nextracker is a solar tracker platform provider and the global market leader by gigawatts shipped for nine consecutive years, serving utility-scale power plants in over 40 countries. It generates revenue by selling solar tracker systems and software to EPCs, developers, and project owners, with a $4.5B backlog as of FY2025 and 69% of revenue from U.S. projects.

Related stocks: FSLR (First Solar, Inc.) · RUN (Sunrun Inc.) · SEDG (SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.) · ENPH (Enphase Energy, Inc.)
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